Archives April 2025

After two years of strong performance, the stock market has struggled here in 2025. Paired with economic data that has surprised to the downside, the threat of a global trade war has weighed heavily on Wall Street. 

And it could all come to head just two days from now, on Wednesday, April 2 – what U.S. President Donald Trump is calling “Liberation Day.” 

That’s when Trump is set to announce a set of sweeping reciprocal tariffs against America’s biggest trading partners. And depending on their severity and longevity, they have the potential to fundamentally reshape the global economic landscape. 

Some think the tariffs are simply a negotiating tactic for the U.S. to strong-arm its way into better trading deals. Others think they could remain in place to help grow the nation’s depleted coffers. 

And the truth is that no one really knows. 

Indeed, as Yahoo Finance’s Ben Werschkul pointed out, “The vastness of possibilities appears to be widening after Trump recently teased that he ‘may give a lot of countries breaks’ and said Sunday night he could be ‘generous’ even as he quickly added that ‘all countries’ could be impacted. A campaign trail idea of blanket 20% across-the-board tariffs also appears to have reemerged as at least an option.”

Even National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett told Fox News that he couldn’t give “any forward-looking guidance on what’s going to happen this week.”

An overwhelming amount of uncertainty continues… Can’t say we’re surprised. 

However, one thing we know for certain is that these tariffs – regardless of if they have staying power – will create enormous stock market volatility. 

Just look at what has happened in the last month…

The Trade War Has Weighed on Wall Street

On Feb. 1, 2025, Trump issued executive orders announcing tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, to go into effect on Feb. 4. This started the trade war drama that persists today. 

Since then, hardly any of the tariffs he has threatened or issued have stuck around, save a few against China. Still, the markets have tumbled. 

The S&P 500 dropped more than 10% from the middle of February to the middle of March. The Nasdaq fell almost 15%, and the Russell 2000 crashed nearly 20%. Collectively, the “Magnificent 7” tech stocks dropped more than 20%. 

Tariff uncertainty alone has created massive market volatility. 

The uncertainty could intensify this week on April 2, when Trump enforces even more – potentially even larger – tariffs. 

And if this trade war drama persists beyond that day, the market will keep reacting violently. 

Huge crashes when tariffs are announced; huge rebound rallies when they’re paused. Another big selloff when more tariffs come, then another big rebound when those tariffs are delayed…

Lather. Rinse. Repeat. 

Introduction: Crypto Pre-Sales and Early Investment Opportunities

Crypto pre-sales allow investors to obtain tokens through early acquisition moments before their public release into the market, alongside special benefits, allowing investors to gain access to the next big cryptocurrencies before their price increases.

AurealOne and DexBoss are attracting notice because they could become the next big crypto coins by transforming gaming systems and decentralized financial operations.

DexBoss: Simplifying DeFi and Expanding Financial Access

Overview

DexBoss operates as a DeFi platform which creates a connection between conventional finance systems and blockchain solutions. Quick and easy access to DeFi trading through DexBoss enables users at every skill level to acquire liquidity solutions.

Key Features That Set DexBoss Apart

1. User-Friendly Interface
   The user-friendly design of DexBoss makes it simple for all users, including beginners, to operate its features without complexity.
    
2. Advanced Trading and Liquidity Solutions
   Users can achieve maximum returns through the combination of deep liquidity pools and stake-to-earn features as well as margin trading provided by DexBoss in the DeFi ecosystem.
    
3. Real-Time Trade Execution
   Instant order execution through this platform helps users avoid missing profitable opportunities that happen quickly in the crypto market.
    
4. $DEBO Token: Driving the DexBoss Ecosystem
   The DexBoss platform operates with the $DEBO token which enables transaction operations and governance procedures. The 17-stage pre-sale initiates at $0.01 and progresses to $0.0505 while seeking to gather $50 million.
    
5. Tokenomics and Long-Term Growth
   • Buyback and Burn Mechanisms: The features work to control the token supply resulting in an increase of $DEBO’s value during the period.
   • Transaction Fees: Some of the fees collected by the platform are used for buybacks, which provide long-term benefits to those holding the tokens.

DexBoss positions itself as a good crypto to invest in by providing a reliable scalable solution for decentralized finance infrastructure.

AurealOne: Revolutionizing Blockchain Gaming and the Metaverse

Overview

The AurealOne blockchain features game-oriented technologies that combine metaverse solutions with speed-based, affordable transaction processing. The platform focuses on developers and gamers to establish itself as the next big crypto through digital interaction advancement.

Key Features Powering AurealOne’s Growth

1. Fast and Scalable Transactions
   AurealOne implements Zero-Knowledge Rollups to provide gamers instant transaction speed with minimum costs which represent vital attributes for gaming platforms.
    
2. Community-Driven Ecosystem
   Staking DLUME tokens through the platform allows investors to generate passive revenue while participating in governance choices that develop the system.
    
3. Pre-Sale Investment Potential
   A twenty-one-stage pre-sale promo began with $0.0005 tokens per unit and then rose to $0.0045 before the public start date at $0.0055. Early market participants have a chance to invest in the $50 million total funding target as it represents a crypto coin that rewards early entry.
    
4. First Game Launch: Clash of Tiles
   The first game produced by AurealOne demonstrates how effective its platform can be through Clash of Tiles. Future game releases under the name DarkLume demonstrate the executive position of this platform in blockchain gaming.
    
5. Security and Transparency
   Users can monitor their balances effortlessly through the platform which provides specialized assistance for security and issue resolution.

Tokenomics: A Structured Approach to Growth

• Total Supply: A proper distribution pattern enables sustainable adoption along with long-term growth.
   
• Pre-Sale Rounds: During the token distribution process 1 billion tokens will be given out in 20 rounds before finally distributing 500 million tokens in the concluding stage.

AurealOne establishes future metaverse integration and gaming blockchain solutions which establish it as a good crypto to invest in for long-term value seekers.

Why AurealOne and DexBoss Could Be the Next Crypto to Hit One Dollar

Both AurealOne and DexBoss exhibit the potential to reach $1 as new promising cryptos because of their solid ecosystems, robust use cases and community-based development approach.

The combination of simplified DeFi trading with advanced financial tools in DexBoss creates attractiveness towards a wide customer base. Descending DeFi adoption rates will cause users to pursue trading systems that simplify and boost efficiency across DeFi platforms. The pre-sale structure of $DEBO, coupled with increasing investor support, makes reaching the $1 milestone a feasible prospect because of its expanding user base.

The blockchain gaming market positions AurealOne as a top project because of its leading position here. AurealOne might achieve a top position among metaverse gaming platforms by helping gaming companies utilize blockchain technology. The combination of investing incentives for DLUME tokens, along with governance capabilities and gaming functions, creates an entire ecosystem that offers benefits for both token holders and gamers who participate in the long run. Widespread adoption of games on the platform combined with an increasing user base could steadily drive DLUME towards $1 value throughout time.

Conclusion

Two upcoming projects that may define gaming and decentralized finance developments are AurealOne and DexBoss. The present-day best cryptocurrency investments are fueled by their successful pre-sale activity combined with their innovative technology and active community involvement. These token platforms show promise to soon reach levels of pre-established crypto projects such as XRP Ripple. 

Nevertheless, the crypto landscape is volatile and investors must be aware of possible risks before investing in cryptocurrencies. ​

Disclaimer: The views and opinions presented in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of CoinCheckup. The content of this article should not be considered as investment advice. Always do your own research before deciding to buy, sell or transfer any crypto assets. Past returns do not always guarantee future profits.

Updated on March 31st, 2025 by Nathan Parsh

Monthly dividend stocks are great candidates for income-oriented investors’ portfolios. They distribute their dividends monthly and offer a smoother income stream.

In addition, many of these stocks are laser-focused on maximizing their distributions to their shareholders.

You can download our full Excel spreadsheet of all monthly dividend stocks (along with metrics that matter like dividend yields and payout ratios) by clicking on the link below:

In this article, we will analyze the prospects of Fortitude Gold Corporation (FTCO), a high-quality monthly dividend stock.

Business Overview

Fortitude Gold is a U.S.-based gold producer that generates ~95% of its revenue from gold and targets projects with low operating costs, high returns on capital, and wide margins.

The company targets high-grade gold open pit heap leach operations averaging one gram per tonne of gold or greater. Its property portfolio currently consists of 100% ownership in seven high-grade gold properties.

All seven properties are within an approximate 30-mile radius of one another within the prolific Walker Lane Mineral Belt. The company generated over $37 million in revenues last year, most of which were from gold.

Source: Investor Presentation

On February 25th, 2025, Fortitude Gold posted its Q4 results for the period ending December 31st, 2024. Revenue for the year was $37.3 million, 49% lower than last year.

The revenue decline was driven by a 58% drop in the number of ounces of gold sold. Silver sales volumes fell 22%, even as prices increased 18% to $27.56 per ounce.

As Fortitude Gold generates essentially all of its revenue from gold, it is obviously highly sensitive to the cycles of the price of gold. The average price of gold increased 22% year-over-year to $2,371 per ounce, down slightly from an all-time high of $2,500 per ounce.

Moving to the bottom line, the company recorded a mine gross profit of $18.3 million compared to $41.2 million in 2023 due to lower net sales.

Therefore, the company reported a net loss of $2 million versus a net income of $17 million in 2023. On a per-share basis, net loss was $0.08 compared to net income of $0.71 for the prior period.

We believe the company’s EPS power potential is about $0.60 for 2025. However, EPS in FY2024 could be lower at $0.48.

Growth Prospects

Fortitude Gold’s outlook has been clouded as it awaits regulatory agency permits to mine deeper in the Isabella Pearl deposit.

Additionally, the company is still awaiting permit approval to build its second mine, its County Line project.

Source: Investor Presentation

Therefore, FTCO stock is a high-risk, high-reward situation. On one hand, rising gold prices and improved operating processes can significantly enhance the company’s financial performance amid higher profit margins.

On the other hand, declining gold prices and rising expenses, could negatively affect profitability. Furthermore, high gold prices weren’t enough to help the company turn a profit in 2023.

On the bright side, inflation has persisted, and with the Federal Reserve unlikely to lower interest rates in the near-term, gold prices are likely to remain high.

This bodes well for the price of gold, and by extension FTCO, for the foreseeable future.

Competitive Advantages & Recession Performance

Gold producers are infamous for their cyclicality, which is caused by the wild swings in the price of gold. Fortitude Gold is inevitably vulnerable to these cycles,but it is an above-average gold producer thanks to some key characteristics.

Its properties also feature exceptionally high-ore grade and near-surface deposits, resulting in low-cost operations relative to its peers.

Additionally, the balance sheet is pristine, with $122.1 million in total assets against just $14 million in total liabilities, resulting in a strong equity value of $108.1 million.

Moreover, Fortitude Gold enjoys another key competitive advantage: namely, the exceptional grade of Isabella Pearl Mine.

As a result, Fortitude Gold is much more profitable than most of its peers at a given gold price and is one of the most resilient gold producers to price downturns.

It is also worth noting that the price of gold often rises during recessions, as the precious metal is considered a safe haven during selloffs of the stock market. This means that Fortitude Gold is likely to perform well during recessions.

Dividend Analysis

Income investors should avoid gold stocks in principle due to the high cyclicality that results from the swings of the price of gold. It is not accidental that there are no gold producers in the list of Dividend Aristocrats.

On the other hand, Fortitude Gold has some attractive features for dividend investors. It offers a monthly dividend of $0.04, corresponding to an annualized dividend yield of 9.8%. This is the highest dividend yield in the group of precious metals producers.

In addition, Fortitude Gold’s expected payout ratio for the year is 80%, which is not ideal but reasonable given the asset’s high quality.

Furthermore, the gold producer’s healthy balance sheet means that the dividend is likely to remain safe for the foreseeable future.

Conversely, investors should always be aware of commodity producers’ vulnerability to commodity cycles.

If the price of gold enters a prolonged downturn at some point in the future, Fortitude Gold’s dividend is likely to come under pressure. Gold producers need to spend significant amounts on capital expenses to replenish their reserves.

Final Thoughts

Gold producers are highly cyclical and should, therefore, be avoided by most income investors, who cannot stomach a volatile stock price and a potential dividend cut.

While Fortitude Gold is highly sensitive to the cycles of the gold price, it has some unique advantages. Its strong balance sheet makes it much easier to endure the downturns of this business.

The stock also offers the highest dividend yield in its peer group and pays its dividend monthly. Therefore, it is an appealing (albeit risky) stock for income investors who want to gain exposure to gold.

Don’t miss the resources below for more monthly dividend stock investing research.

And see the resources below for more compelling investment ideas for dividend growth stocks and/or high-yield investment securities.

Hello, Reader.

Life can be filled with anomalies.

A white puppy is born into a litter of brown siblings. Snowfall blankets the Florida Panhandle. That one Monday when Garfield was happy.

Anomalies happen in the stock market, too.

As it happens, a short-term anomaly has developed in the natural gas market: Gas prices are rising, but natural gas stocks are falling. The chart below tells the tale.

Tumbling crude oil prices probably deserve most of the blame for causing this rare divergence.

For starters, falling crude prices cast a pall over the entire fossil fuel sector. In addition, most major natural gas producers also produce significant volumes of crude oil.

As a result, the shares of almost every North American natural gas producer have been sliding lower, no matter how little crude each company produces.

The First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG) is a perfect case-in-point. Its price has gone nowhere during the last two months, even though the natural gas price has jumped around 35% over that brief time frame.

Sooner or later, natural gas stocks should begin to reflect the strong pricing in the natural gas market and the bullish trends underway there. U.S. natural gas in storage, relative to seasonal three-year average levels, has been dropping sharply for nearly a year.

The most recent reading showed storage levels 14% below average levels for this time of year.

Against this backdrop, U.S. natural gas demand is on track to surpass supply by a wide margin over the next two years, which should reduce stockpiles even further below three-year average levels.

Our nation’s rapidly growing LNG (liquified natural gas) export capacity will account for most of the demand growth. The U.S. became the world’s biggest LNG supplier in 2023, surpassing Australia and Qatar.

In February, the amount of gas flowing to the eight big U.S. LNG export plants rose to a record-high 15.6 Bcf/d (billion cubic feet per day), as new units at Venture Global’s 3.2-Bcf/d Plaquemines LNG export plant in Louisiana entered service.

So far this month, LNG export volumes are even higher.

Looking down the road, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) predicts LNG exports will grow by 2.1 Bcf/d and an additional 2.1 Bcf/d in 2026, due to new export facilities that will begin operating during that time frame. Assuming this LNG demand materializes as the EIA expects, it would account for a whopping 72% of the entire country’s expected demand growth in 2025 and 2026.

Unlike domestic demand spikes that occur during exceptionally cold winters or hot summers, LNG export demand is relatively constant. Once in place, it remains in place and continues to consume domestic gas supplies, no matter what national weather conditions might be.

As such, this source of demand puts continuous upward pressure on natural gas prices, especially if domestic gas production fails to keep pace.

The EIA is predicting that exact scenario. Although the agency expects domestic production to increase by 3.6% during the next two years, that figure is well below the 5.8% demand growth the agency predicts.

This widening supply-demand imbalance would reduce U.S. gas inventories, which would be unequivocally bullish for natural gas prices.

My newest Fry’s Investment Report play on natural gas is already reaping rewards from improving natural gas prices in the Permian Basin of West Texas… although the company’s still-depressed share price does not reflect that potential.

At less than eight times earnings, its share price seems substantially undervalued, relative to both its peer group and to its “hidden” earnings potential from its holdings in the Delaware Basin chunk of the Permian.

But all that means is that this company currently offers a great buying opportunity.

Bottom line: U.S. natural gas is “Buy,” which means this natural gas play is a “Strong Buy.”

For more, click here to learn more about becoming a Fry’s Investment Report member today.

Now, let’s look at what we covered here at Smart Money this past week…

Smart Money Roundup

This ‘AI Divide’ Creates a Once-In-a-Generation Opportunity – Which Side Will You Land On?

The tech world is splitting in two due to AI, creating stark contrasts between those who adapt and those left behind. While execs pop Champagne as AI turbocharges stocks and mints new fortunes, others watch their careers vaporize overnight. Read on as Luke Lango digs deeper into how exactly artificial intelligence is widening the gulf between the haves and the have nots.

The Biggest Wealth Shift of Our Lives Is Coming – Here’s How to Prepare

As AI transforms industries, a stark divide emerges between adaptive and stagnant companies. Drawing parallels to past technological disruptions, businesses are leveraging AI to dramatically reduce workforce while increasing efficiency. Louis Navellier is here to share why this shift is happening, and how to prepare for it.

The 5-Letter Word Every Investor Should Memorize to Win in 2025

Investors are feeling frustrated, with bearish sentiment shooting up and many tech stocks taking a beating. But the broader stock market paints a different picture: A quiet shift is happening as forgotten value stocks start to steal the spotlight. Tom Yeung explains why market uncertainty is reshaping investment strategies.

Bill Gates Says You Might Be Obsolete Soon – Here’s What to Do About It

Spring cleaning forces us to confront obsolete tech – those dusty drawers filled with ancient phone chargers and forgotten gadgets. Bill Gates warns us humans might join this obsolete list, predicting AI will soon handle things like medical advice and tutoring without us. In this issue, I’ll take a look at the rise of physical AI and how one company is leading the charge.

The stock market currently resembles Disney’s Tower of Terror ride – a seemingly endless plummet that’s actually shorter than it feels. Recent market volatility, triggered by tariff tensons, has investors experiencing stomach-dropping fear despite limited actual losses. Learn more about the five steps Louis Navellier wants you to take to protect your portfolio.

Looking Ahead

While I have my eye on the natural gas market, I am also keeping my focus on the biggest trend of our time: artificial intelligence.

AI has been the biggest wealth driver in the stock market over the last two years, minting over 500,000 new millionaires.

But for all its promise, AI also has a dark side – one that could shock the financial system. 

My InvestorPlace colleagues Louis Navellier and Luke Lango and I have been talking a lot about the “Technochasm,” a phenomenon I’ve been tracking for the past five years. It refers to the deep divide that technology is creating within the market and society.

On one side of the gap are the companies (and investors) who leverage rapid technological innovation. On the other: investors and businesses that get caught off guard and fall behind.

Well, AI has come along and lit a match under the Technochasm. And this divide is now nearing the point of being uncrossable.

That is why I recently held an important broadcast with Louis and Luke to explain exactly how this massive capital shift will create the next generation of tech millionaires – and leave millions of others behind.

If you want to learn more about this opportunity – and the six stocks at the center of it – click here to access the free replay.

Regards,

Eric Fry

Players of the new mobile video game EIGHTH ERA™ have an opportunity to acquire NGC-certified MS70 examples of the 2025 American Silver Eagle bullion coins with the new eagle-in-flight privy mark via gameplay and in-game tournaments beginning April 7, 2025.

Many of EIGHTH ERA’s major characters including the ASE-inspired character Golden Griffin, levels of play, and rewards are inspired by historical coins. Created by gaming publisher and developer Nice Gang® (www.NiceGang.com), the innovative game is free to play and available to download on iOS and Android devices.

Starting April 7, reach level 7 to unlock the exclusive chance to purchase NGC-certified MS70 ASEs – now featuring the bold new eagle-in-flight privy mark while supplies last.

For gamers and coin collectors seeking a competitive experience, ASEs with the new eagle-in-flight privy mark can also be won by competing in the tournament-style competition which can be unlocked once a player reaches level 6.

Held over a two-week period, tournament winners who achieve first place in the level 41-60 bracket will receive an EIGHTH ERA gold gilted hero coin, in addition to an ASE with eagle-in-flight privy mark. In collaboration with the United States Mint (www.USMint.gov), the coins available to EIGHTH ERA players will be among the first 50,000 released.

“EIGHTH ERA has truly struck a chord with collectors and gamers alike. Coin collectors who’ve never played a video game are now some of our top players. Thanks to their continued support, we are excited to offer our loyal fanbase and new players these beautiful collectible silver eagles for free through tournaments and at a reduced price, which includes Numismatic Guaranty Company (www.NGCcoin.com) certification and shipping costs,” said Jason Wasserman, Nice Gang Co-Founder.

“Each NGC-encapsulated coin in this promotion will have a special EIGHTH ERA insert label with, appropriately, a depiction of the game’s eagle character, the Golden Griffin. The words ‘FIRST EAGLE PRIVY RELEASE’ and ‘ONE OF FIRST 50,000 RELEASED’ are also on the label,” announced Wasserman.

“We experienced such a high demand for our first Silver Eagle promotion, that we couldn’t wait to share this special coin with our players. The United States Mint American Silver Eagle with the eagle-in-flight privy mark is a groundbreaking collectible,” stated Mark Salzberg, Co-Founder of Nice Gang, Certified Collectibles Group (CCG) and NGC.

“EIGHTH ERA was created to help attract a new generation to coin collecting as well as provide informative, enjoyable entertainment to current collectors. Since its recent launch, the game has garnered more than 150,000 downloads since October,” said Salzberg.

Set 10,000 years in the future, EIGHTH ERA takes players on an epic role-playing adventure through perilous past worlds to collect forgotten pieces of history and save the future from an evil AI. It provides endless entertainment for both the hardcore and casual players.

Players have the chance to win numismatic rewards, such as exclusive certified coins and special medallions that depict some of the game’s more than 50 playable characters. New hero medallions are released monthly for players to win.

About Nice Gang

Founded in 2022, Nice Gang is a US-based indie mobile gaming publisher and developer that was built to bring the worlds of collectibles and video games together to create a paradigm shift in the industry. Helmed by a world class leadership team of gaming, entertainment and collectibles industry veterans including Jason Wasserman (20th Century Fox / Disney), Vincent Nguyen (King Games/ 20th Century Fox), Mark Salzberg (Founder of Certified Collectibles Group), and Josh Adam (Goldman Sachs), Nice Gang is committed to engaging and educating the next generation of collectors through mobile gaming experiences and inclusive communities. Eighth Era is the first mobile game published by Nice Gang, which has reached over 145,000 downloads across mobile platforms worldwide.

Updated on March 31st, 2025 by Nathan Parsh

The industrial aerospace industry is not well-known for high dividends or even dividend growth in the U.S. and Canada. Exchange Income Corporation (EIFZF) is a unique Canadian business that acquires companies in the Aerospace, Aviation, and Manufacturing sectors.

Exchange Income’s acquisition and growth strategy have allowed the company to reward shareholders with regular dividend increases since its IPO. Combined with the high dividend yield of more than 5%, this stock should pique the interest of any income investor.

Beyond its high dividend yield, the stock is also quite unique because it pays monthly dividends instead of the traditional quarterly distribution schedule. Monthly dividend payments are highly superior for investors that need to budget around their dividend payments (such as retirees).

There are currently only 76  monthly dividend stocks. You can see the full list of monthly dividend stocks (along with important financial metrics such as dividend yields and price-to-earnings ratios) by clicking on the link below:

Exchange Income Corporation’s high dividend yield and monthly dividend payments are two big reasons why this company stands out to prospective investors.

This is especially true considering the average S&P 500 Index yields just 1.3% right now. By comparison, Exchange Income yields more than four times the average dividend yield of the S&P 500.

That said, proper due diligence is still required for any high-yield stock to ensure its sustainable payout. Fortunately, the dividend payout appears sustainable, making the stock attractive to income investors.

Business Overview

Exchange Income Corporation provides aerospace and aviation services, including scheduled airline and charter services, emergency medical services, after-market aircraft and engines, and pilot flight training services.

Additionally, the company is invested in manufacturing window wall systems used in skyscrapers, vessels, and other industrial purposes.

Finally, Exchange Income also owns telecom towers, which it leases to America’s and Canada’s major telecom providers. The company, which is based in Winnipeg, Canada, generates just over $1 billion in annual revenue.

The corporation has two operating segments: Aerospace & Aviation and Manufacturing.

Source: Investor Relations

Aerospace and aviation make up the bulk of the company’s EBITDA. The company’s strategy is to grow its portfolio of diversified niche operations through acquisitions to provide shareholders with a reliable and growing dividend.

The companies acquired are in defensible niche markets, and EIC has made well over 30 acquisitions since its inception in 2004.

Acquisition candidates must have a track record of profits and strong, continued cash flow generation with committed management focused on building the business post-acquisition.

Growth Prospects

Exchange Income’s results lagged in 2020 due to the negative impacts of COVID-19 on the aviation industry. Since then, the company has not only recovered but has also achieved new top—and bottom-line records.

On February 26th, 2025, the company released its Q4 results for the period ending December 31st, 2024. Revenues for the quarter grew by 7% (in constant currency) to $481.4 million, driven by a 12% increase in Aerospace & Aviation, increased leasing activity in Aircraft Sales & Leasing, and contributions from recent acquisitions, including Duhamel and Spartan.

Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter grew 6% to $0.59, mainly due to higher margins in leasing operations and increased profitability from ISR flying activities.

For fiscal 2025, management confirmed their guidance, expecting adjusted EBITDA between C$690 million and C$730 million. This would increase 10% to 16% from the prior year. Based on this outlook, adjusted EPS could reach $2.51, excluding one-time items.

The annual dividend rate of C$2.64 equals approximately $1.82 at the current CAD/USD exchange rate.

The payout ratio was 104% in FY2024 but is expected to drop to slightly more than 70% this year, implying that the dividend is covered by earnings.

We have set our estimated 5-year compound annual growth rate of adjusted EPS to 3%, as much of the company’s post-pandemic recovery has now occurred.

We retain our dividend-per-share growth projections at around 2% during that period, slightly lower than the company’s historical (Canadian) average. The lower dividend growth rate will improve the dividend’s safety over the long term, ensuring adequate dividend coverage.

Dividend Analysis

As with many high-yield stocks, the bulk of Exchange Income’s future expected returns will come from its dividend payments. Management has been committed to increasing the dividend and rewarding shareholders, and they have done so since inception.

The cash dividend payment has increased 16 times since 2004, and it is impressive that the company was able to maintain the dividend even during the pandemic.

Source: Investor Relations

Today, the annualized dividend payout stands at C$2.64 per share annually in Canadian dollars. Of course, U.S. investors need to translate the dividend payout into U.S. dollars to calculate the current yield.

Based on prevailing exchange rates, the dividend payout is approximately $1.82 per share in U.S. dollars, representing a high dividend yield of 5.3%. Exchange Income’s dividend growth has been stable and consistent over the long term.

Using projected 2025 earnings-per-share of $2.51, the stock has a dividend payout ratio of 73%. This means underlying earnings cover the current dividend payout with a decent cushion.

We view the stock as slightly undervalued today. From a total return perspective, we see potential for nearly 10% total returns on an annual basis moving forward. This will consist of the 5.3% dividend yield, 3% annual EPS growth, and a low single-digit contribution from multiple expansions.

Final Thoughts

Exchange Income Corp’s high dividend yield and monthly dividend payments immediately appeal to income investors such as retirees.

Related: 3 Canadian Monthly Dividend Stocks With Yields Up To 6%.

This analysis suggests that the company’s dividend is safe, as measured by the non-GAAP metric of Free Cash Flow minus Maintenance Capital Expenditures.

The company appears slightly undervalued on a price-to-earnings basis. At the same time, it has a solid total return projection. As a result, Exchange Income Corporation appears to be a good stock pick for income investors and offers the potential for double-digit total returns over the next five years.

Don’t miss the resources below for more monthly dividend stock investing research.

And see the resources below for more compelling investment ideas for dividend growth stocks and/or high-yield investment securities.

What tariff path will Trump take? … Luke expects tariff drama to pass quickly … how big the reversion rally could be … the AI stocks Luke, Louis, and Eric like today

Wednesday brings “Liberation Day.”

This is what President Trump is calling April 2, the day he plans to unveil his master reciprocal tariff plan, or “the big one.”

From Trump:

This is the beginning of Liberation Day in America.

We’re going to charge countries for doing business in our country and taking our jobs, taking our wealth, taking a lot of things that they’ve been taking over the years.

They’ve taken so much out of our country, friend and foe. And, frankly, friend has been oftentimes much worse than foe.

According to a White House memo, the new tariffs will be tailored for each U.S. trading partner. The aim is to counteract the tariffs imposed on American goods as well as other factors that may disadvantage U.S. manufacturers (such as regulations, value-added taxes (VATs), and weak intellectual property protections).

Since Trump announced these tariffs, there’s been tremendous speculation…

Is the tough talk primarily negotiating leverage? If not, how severe might the tariffs be? Is Trump willing to throw the economy and stock market under the bus to achieve his tariff goals?

Last week, our hypergrowth/technology expert Luke Lango, editor of Innovation Investor, highlighted the three most likely ways that tariffs could manifest:

• Trump could match other countries’ tariff rates by closing the tariff rate differentials
• He could slap them with new tariffs equal to their respective VAT rates
• He could go after non-tariff measures – things like sanitary standards, quotas, licensing obligations, and more – with new tariffs

What’s the likelihood of each avenue, and what could it mean for our economy?

Here’s Luke:

The first option – matching tariff rates – seems very likely and won’t do a ton of damage. It will increase the average tariff rate by 1-2 points, barely hit GDP growth, and barely raise inflation.

The second option – attacking the VATs – seems probable and would do a lot more damage. It would increase the average tariff rate by a little more than 10 points, would hit GDP by almost 2 points, and would raise inflation by about a point.

The third option – going after non-tariff measures – seems unlikely but would inflict serious pain. It would increase the average tariff rate by nearly 30 points, would hit GDP by 4 points, and would spike inflation by 2-3 points.

In that scenario, the global economy would plunge into a recession.

But if only options 1 and 2 are enacted – and they are temporary – then the economy could avoid a recession. That’s why [this] week – and the few weeks thereafter – are so important.

Why Luke believes the tariff drama will resolve soon

Luke believes the White House is clearly ready and willing to play “hard ball” in this global trade war.

Trump appears unaffected by his detractors, as well as the growing forecasts of an economic slowdown that would fall directly at his feet.

But Luke urges investors not to get caught up in the pessimism. He forecasts a different outcome:

Despite all the intense and hostile rhetoric out there right now, everyone will rush to the negotiating table to quickly strike new trade deals in April.

Within the first two weeks of April, we expect most countries to reach an agreement with the U.S. that results in the repeal or prolonged delay of most tariffs. 

Consequently, we believe that most of these tariffs won’t last more than a few weeks and that by late April, most of this tariff drama will be in the rearview mirror. 

Once the tariff drama moves into the rearview mirror, recession fears will abate, consumer confidence will rebound, economic activity will restrengthen, and the stock market will soar. 

Luke admits that Trump could prove him wrong. If so, and a significant trade war rears its ugly head, then investors would need to adopt a defensive posture.

But for now, Luke gives the benefit of the doubt to cooler heads prevailing.

How to play a short-term tariff storm

If you read Luke regularly, you know the answer…

Buy leading AI/technology stocks that have taken a beating since mid-February.

To make his case, Luke points us to the Bloomberg Artificial Intelligence Aggregate Equal Weight Total Return Index, calling it “the best comprehensive measure of AI stocks in the market.”

It includes a wide array of AI stocks, from little players like Astera Labs (ALAB) and Celestica (CLS) to big players like Nvidia (NVDA) and Microsoft (MSFT).

Luke writes that, last week, it hit “major bottom” levels.

As you can see below, it crashed to lows not seen since late-2022.

Source: Bloomberg

Back to Luke:

If you missed it, we encourage you to check out a free replay right here.

Coming full circle…

Everything we’ve discussed today points us back to Wednesday and “Liberation Day.”

Will we be liberated from tariff fears and the recent market correction?

Or will heavy-handed tariffs panic Wall Street, causing the market to continue “liberating” us from all the gains we’ve enjoyed in recent years?

We’ll find out.

Have a good evening,

Jeff Remsburg

Written by Steven Dooley, Head of Market Insights, and Shier Lee Lim, Lead FX and Macro Strategist

Aussie falls to one-month lows

The Australian dollar was weaker overnight ahead of today’s Reserve Bank of Australia decision.

According to Bloomberg, of the 30 surveyed economists, only one forecaster is calling for the RBA to cut, with the other 29 expecting interest rates to remain on hold at 4.10%.

The RBA decision is due at 2.30pm AEDT with the governor Michele Bullock’s press conference at 3.30pm.

The AUD/USD was lower, falling 0.6%, with the pair dropping to the lowest level since 4 March.

Global markets stay volatile ahead of tariff deadline

US sharemarkets opened sharply lower overnight but then gained strongly throughout the session in a sign of the ongoing volatility in financial markets.

Last week, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq suffered their worst week since December, with markets on edge ahead of President Trump’s so-called “Liberation Day” of tariff announcements. President Trump has said he will announce further tariffs on 2 April (Thursday morning APAC time).

While equity markets rebounded, key FX markets were lower.

While the Aussie fell, the NZD/USD lost even more, down 0.7%.

The USD/SGD climbed 0.1% while the USD/CNH fell 0.1%.

Eurozone CPI due

In Europe, FX markets performed better with the GBP/USD down only 0.1% while the EUR/USD was flat.

Tonight, markets will be looking to Eurozone March CPI numbers.

The headline annual inflation number is forecast to fall from 2.3% to 2.2% while the core number is forecast to drop from 2.6% to 2.5% according to Bloomberg consensus numbers.

However, a higher inflation number could spark a further euro rally. The EUR has recently surged across APAC with the AUDEUR back near five-year lows overnight. Similarly, the NZD/EUR has also fallen to five-year lows while the EUR/SGD has climbed to eight-month highs.  

Eurozone CPI is due at 8.00pm AEDT.

Aussie lower ahead of RBA

Table: seven-day rolling currency trends and trading ranges  

Key global risk events

Calendar: 31 March – 4 April

All times AEDT

Have a question? [email protected]

*The FX rates published are provided by Convera’s Market Insights team for research purposes only. The rates have a unique source and may not align to any live exchange rates quoted on other sites. They are not an indication of actual buy/sell rates, or a financial offer.