Crypto Gambling in 2025: Top Trends to Watch


Crypto gambling trends

Crypto gambling has always been a wild ride: one minute, it’s a revolution, the next, regulators are breathing down its neck. What was sci-fi five years ago is now just another Tuesday. And 2025? It’s going to be glorious.

Expect AI casinos reading your soul, meme coins funding your next bet, and, of course, gambling platforms thriving in the chaos. Bitz.io, already a favorite among crypto gamblers, will likely push the boundaries further. Maybe with decentralized tournaments, NFT-based bets, or even AI-powered dealers that know when you really should stop.

Governments will help by launching their own crypto casinos, and smart contracts will be unbreakable until they aren’t. The future is just as bright as a flashing neon sign with a jackpot sound effect.

Governments Will Launch Their Own Crypto Gambling Platforms

In 2025, the same governments that once fought crypto gambling will pivot and embrace it, but on their terms. Expect state-controlled blockchain casinos, where the house edge is set by national authorities and tax collection is instant. 

Some countries will justify this as a way to protect citizens from unregulated gambling, while others will see it as a way to tap into a lucrative industry. Here are some possible ways the government might handle crypto gambling:

  1. State-Owned Blockchain Casinos. Fully controlled by the government, all winnings and transactions are traceable. For instance, Thailand is considering legalizing online gambling to generate significant annual revenue. 
  2. Mandatory KYC for All Crypto Bets. No more anonymity, as personal IDs will be tied to blockchain wallets. The European Union, for example, has implemented comprehensive KYC regulations to combat financial crimes. 
  3. Taxes Embedded in Smart Contracts. A portion of every bet will be automatically sent to tax authorities, ensuring seamless revenue collection.
  4. Banned Private Gambling Platforms. Heavy fines for anyone using non-government crypto gambling sites. In the United States, the federal government is likely to intervene against quasi-gambling products, indicating a move towards stricter regulation. 

Ironically, crypto gambling was supposed to be about decentralization. Yet, 2025 may see it being absorbed into the very regulatory frameworks it tried to escape.

Uprising in Virtual Casinos Driven by AI

Forget traditional online gambling. In 2025, AI-driven, fully immersive casinos will replace static betting sites. These casinos will act as living entities: learning player preferences, tailoring game experiences in real-time, and even simulating human dealers with near-perfect emotional responses. 

No more generic slots or table games, each experience will be dynamically generated based on the player’s behavior.

Feature Description
Adaptive Gameplay AI will adjust game mechanics based on player engagement.
Personalized Odds No universal odds—AI tailors them based on player history.
Deepfake Dealers Realistic AI dealers, are indistinguishable from real humans.
Emotion Tracking AI reads player emotions via webcam or VR sensors.
Blockchain Enforcement Smart contracts ensure fairness without third-party audits.

With these developments, traditional casinos will struggle to compete, as AI-generated environments will offer players an experience they can’t find anywhere else. 

As Ian Tibot, Chief Commercial Officer of Future Anthem, notes, “We see every single spin of a slot, we see every single bet, and we actually understand the experience that the player is having by creating the concept of a session out of that data.”

Meme Coins Will Rule the Gaming Industry

Bitcoin and Ethereum? How boring. In 2025, the real action will be in meme coins, where internet culture collides with high-stakes gambling in the most spectacularly irrational way possible. 

Forget boring betting – your fate now rests in the hands of Twitter trends and Elon Musk’s next cryptic tweet. Plus, putting money into a currency with a frog motif just because someone on Reddit suggested it is the epitome of responsible investing (if you ask me).

Coin Name Concept Price Prediction for 2025
$PEPE A meme coin inspired by the Pepe the Frog character, gaining traction in online gambling communities. Predicted to reach $0.01, contingent on market trends. 
$DOGE The original meme coin, Dogecoin continues to be popular in gambling circles due to its widespread recognition. Expected to maintain stability with modest growth.
$SHIB Shiba Inu coin, often dubbed the ‘Dogecoin killer,’ has found its niche in decentralized gambling platforms. Forecasted to experience gradual appreciation.
$FLOKI Named after Elon Musk’s pet, Floki Inu has carved out a space in meme coin casinos. Anticipated to see incremental value increases.
$MEME A token that embodies the essence of meme culture, used in various online gaming and gambling platforms. Projected to rise to approximately €0.0183 by the end of 2025.

How to gamble responsibly with meme coins or at least minimize regret:

  • Accept That Logic Doesn’t Apply: Traditional market analysis? Cute. The only trend that matters is vibes.
  • Set a Limit: If your investment strategy involves hoping a Shiba Inu GIF pumps your net worth, maybe cap your losses so it won’t ruin your life.
  • Stay Updated on the Circus: Your financial future may depend on the next big meme. Stay vigilant, dear gambler.
  • Enjoy the Madness: You’re not here for safe bets, you’re here for the ride. Might as well have fun.

Will meme coins revolutionize crypto gambling? Probably not. Will they create a spectacularly absurd betting landscape filled with chaos, hype, and just enough wins to keep the dream alive? Absolutely.

Smart Contracts Will Introduce Uncheatable Gambling

The promise of smart contracts in gambling is simple: automated, tamper-proof, and completely fair. The reality? While these self-executing contracts eliminate some traditional risks, they are far from invincible. 

In 2025, expect increasingly sophisticated exploits, creative loopholes, and a never-ending battle between developers and hackers. The difference? Leading online site Bitz casino investing in rigorous audits and proactive security measures to stay ahead of the game.

Risk Type Description
Oracles Can Be Hacked Even decentralized systems rely on external data sources, which can be manipulated.
Hidden Developer Backdoors Smart contracts are “immutable,” but some devs will still find ways to include secret exploits.
Front-Running Attacks Betting transactions could be manipulated via MEV (maximal extractable value) attacks.
Game Theory Exploits Players will find ways to game the system using coordinated blockchain transactions.

Smart contracts are designed to make crypto gambling fairer and more automated, but keeping them secure is still a challenge we need to tackle. It’s really important to have regular audits, keep things updated, and focus on responsible development to make sure we create a safer betting environment.

Conclusion

Crypto gambling in 2025 won’t just evolve, it’ll mutate. AI casinos will know you better than your friends, governments will protect players while taking their cut, and meme coins will turn bets into lottery tickets. Regulators? Still trying to Google Blockchain. One thing’s certain—this game never stops.



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Dividend Aristocrats In Focus: Atmos Energy


Updated on March 3rd, 2025 by Felix Martinez

The Dividend Aristocrats are a group of stocks in the S&P 500 Index with 25+ years of consecutive dividend increases. These companies have high-quality business models that have stood the test of time and shown a remarkable ability to raise dividends every year regardless of the economy.

We have compiled a list of all 69 Dividend Aristocrats, along with relevant financial metrics like dividend yield and P/E ratios. You can download the full Dividend Aristocrats list by clicking on the link below:

 

Disclaimer: Sure Dividend is not affiliated with S&P Global in any way. S&P Global owns and maintains The Dividend Aristocrats Index. The information in this article and downloadable spreadsheet is based on Sure Dividend’s own review, summary, and analysis of the S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF (NOBL) and other sources, and is meant to help individual investors better understand this ETF and the index upon which it is based. None of the information in this article or spreadsheet is official data from S&P Global. Consult S&P Global for official information.

The list of Dividend Aristocrats is diversified across multiple sectors, including consumer goods, financials, industrials, and healthcare. Surprisingly, the utility sector is underrepresented.

Only three utility stocks are on the list of Dividend Aristocrats: Consolidated Edison (ED), NextEra Energy (NEE), and Atmos Energy (ATO).

Only three utilities are on the list, which may come as a surprise, especially since utilities are widely regarded as steady dividend stocks. This article will discuss Atmos Energy’s path to becoming a Dividend Aristocrat.

Business Overview

Atmos Energy was formed in 1906 in Texas. Since then, it has grown organically and through mergers. Today, Atmos Energy distributes and stores natural gas in eight states, serving over 3 million customers.

In addition, Atmos owns about 5,700 miles of natural gas transmission lines. The utility should generate about $4.8 billion in revenue last year. The company serves over 3 million natural gas customers in eight states.

Source: Investor Presentation

Atmos posted first quarter earnings on February 5th, 2025. The company reported reported fiscal 2025 Q1 earnings of $2.23 per diluted share, with a net income of $351.9 million. Capital expenditures reached $891.2 million, with 86% dedicated to safety and reliability. The company maintains strong financials, with 60.3% equity capitalization and $5.2 billion in liquidity, alongside $150.5 million in annualized regulatory outcomes.

The company reaffirmed its fiscal 2025 earnings guidance of $7.05–$7.25 per diluted share and expects $3.7 billion in capital expenditures. The Board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.87 per share, raising the annual dividend to $3.48, an 8.1% increase from 2024.

CEO Kevin Akers highlighted the company’s ongoing commitment to safety, reliability, and modernization, crediting its 5,300 employees for delivering strong results that benefit customers and communities.

Growth Prospects

Earnings growth across the utility industry typically mimics GDP growth, plus a couple of percentage points. However, we expect Atmos Energy to continue outperforming this trend due to its focus on capital investment in its regulated operations, a constructive regulatory environment in Texas, and population growth.

As a result, the company should benefit from strong rate base growth, which will generate annual earnings per share growth in accordance with management’s 6%—8% guidance.

New customers, rate increases, and aggressive capital expenditures are Atmos Energy’s growth drivers. One benefit of operating in a regulated industry is that utilities are permitted to raise rates on a regular basis, which virtually assures a steady level of growth.

Source: Investor Presentation

The company’s primary risk is its ability to achieve timely and positive regulatory rate adjustments. If it achieves lower than expected allowed returns, this could significantly harm profits.

However, we believe Atmos can achieve at least 7% annual EPS growth through continued improvements in gross margin, reductions in operating costs as a percentage of revenue, and top-line growth via acquisitions and organic customer growth.

The company continues to file favorable rate cases with its various localities, which also provide for small revenue increases over time, as we saw again in fiscal 2024 fullyear results

Competitive Advantages & Recession Performance

Atmos Energy’s main competitive advantage is the utility industry’s high regulatory hurdles. Gas service is necessary and vital to society. As a result, the industry is highly regulated, making it virtually impossible for a new competitor to enter the market. This provides great certainty to Atmos Energy and its annual earnings.

Another competitive advantage is the company’s stable business model and sound balance sheet, giving it an attractive cost of capital. This enables it to fund accretive acquisitions and growth capital expenditures, driving outsized earnings per share growth.

In addition, the utility business model is highly recession-resistant. While many companies experienced large earnings declines in 2008 and 2009, Atmos Energy’s earnings per share kept growing. Earnings-per-share during the Great Recession are shown below:

  • 2007 earnings-per-share of $1.91
  • 2008 earnings-per-share of $1.99 (4% growth)
  • 2009 earnings-per-share of $2.07 (4% growth)
  • 2010 earnings-per-share of $2.20 (6% growth)

The company still generated healthy growth even during the worst of the economic downturn. Results remained resilient and continued to grow during the pandemic, demonstrating Atmos’ assets’ mission-critical nature.

This resilience has allowed Atmos Energy to continue increasing its dividend each year during these unfavorable market environments.

Valuation & Expected Returns

Atmos Energy is expected to earn $7.20 this year. Based on this, the stock trades with a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.3x. This is above our fair value estimate of 19x earnings, and above the 10-year average price-to-earnings ratio for the stock.

As a result, Atmos Energy shares appear to be overvalued. If the stock valuation compresses from 21.3 to 19 over the next five years, the corresponding multiple compression would decrease annual returns by 1.6%. This could be a slight headwind for future returns.

Fortunately, the stock could still provide positive returns to shareholders, through earnings growth and dividends. We expect the company to grow earnings by 7% per year over the next five years.

In addition, the stock has a current dividend yield of 2.3%. ATO has increased its dividend for 41 consecutive years.

Putting it all together, Atmos Energy’s total expected returns could look like the following:

  • 7% earnings growth
  • 1.6% P/E multiple compression
  • 2.3% dividend yield

Added up, Atmos Energy is expected to generate 7.7% annualized total returns over the next five years, which does not make the stock attractive for investors interested in dividend growth and total returns.

The dividend yield is not substantial but remains attractive, while the dividend appears relatively safe. The company has projected a 2025 payout ratio of ~48%, indicating a sustainable dividend. As a result, we view Atmos Energy as a blue-chip stock.

Final Thoughts

Atmos Energy stock is attractive for investors looking for an above-average yield and regular dividend growth. Because of this, it can serve a valuable purpose in an income investor’s portfolio. The stock offers a very secure and growing dividend income stream, and its dividend yield is well above the average dividend yield of the S&P 500 Index.

Note: Atmos Energy also ranks well using The Chowder Rule.

Atmos Energy is also a Dividend Aristocrat and should raise its dividend each year. With five-year expected returns of 11% per year, ATO stock is a buy.

Additionally, the following Sure Dividend databases contain the most reliable dividend growers in our investment universe:

If you’re looking for stocks with unique dividend characteristics, consider the following Sure Dividend databases:

The major domestic stock market indices are another solid resource for finding investment ideas. Sure Dividend compiles the following stock market databases and updates them monthly:

Thanks for reading this article. Please send any feedback, corrections, or questions to [email protected].





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Crypto Watch: Trump’s Next Move Could Trigger Sizable Surge


Most investors expected stability, but cryptocurrencies have delivered spectacle…

After touting his support all along the campaign trail, President Trump initially had cryptocurrencies tearing higher. But as with the rest of the financial markets, cryptos have been stuck on a rollercoaster that would test even the most iron-stomached investors since November’s election.

Indeed, Bitcoin (BTC/USD) rallied 60% in the month after the election on hopes for pro-crypto policies out of D.C. Then, worries about reinflation sent Bitcoin crashing 15%. 

As those inflation worries abated, BTC rebounded 15%… only to crash 20% on tariff fears. 

Most recently – just this past weekend – Bitcoin popped 10% in a hurry on news that Trump is set to create a strategic national reserve for cryptos. But when the president subsequently announced more tariffs on Monday, BTC gave back all those gains. 

It has been a violent and volatile ride over the past few months. The natural question on everyone’s mind is: What’s next?

We think a rally – and a pretty big one at that… 

This Week’s Bullish Development

Perhaps surprisingly, considering what we’ve just outlined, our bullishness stems from Trump. 

As we mentioned, shortly after the election, Bitcoin surged from $60,000 to $100,000 on the idea that the president would enact a series of pro-crypto policies that would support innovation and growth in the industry. Since then, however, BTC has stumbled on concerns that the president was de-prioritizing cryptos. 

That is, in his first few weeks in office, Trump hit the ground running with tariffs and federal spending cuts. But he moved rather slowly with his crypto-related promises, creating worries that his action would be less than hoped. 

That could all change later this week. 

This Friday, March 7, Trump is set to host the first-ever White House Crypto Summit. Attendees will include prominent founders, CEOs, and investors from the industry. 

We think he could announce more big things at this summit. 

Trump is well-aware of how crypto markets have struggled – and of how some crypto investors who supported him on the campaign trail may be disappointed with how the markets have fared so far during his presidency. 

That’s why we think he tried to ‘save’ the crypto markets with the announcement of a crypto strategic national reserve on Sunday… 



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CFO Corner: Anne-Laure Autret-Cornet, OSE Immunotherapeutics


Since 2016, Anne-Laure Autret-Cornet has been the CFO of OSE Immunotherapeutics, a biotech dedicated to immuno-oncology and immuno-inflammation. The Nantes, France-based company went public on the Euronext Paris stock exchange in late March 2015.

Global Finance: What has been your biggest challenge as CFO?

Anne-Laure Autret-Cornet: In the biotech sector, we are always fundraising. In Europe, it is even more challenging, not only because of the economic and political challenges, but also because the markets have been rather sluggish since 2023. That said, OSE managed to secure funding until first-quarter 2027. Of course, the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic were very challenging. The uncertainty and rapid changes in the global market required quick adaptation and strategic financial planning to ensure the stability and continuity of our operations.

GF: Where has the bulk of your energy and time been directed in the last year?

Autret-Cornet: Along with our CEO and chief business officer, I was focused on securing funding for our ongoing and upcoming research and development projects. We received a grant of €8.4 million in non-dilutive public funding to support a Phase 3 clinical trial of our cancer vaccine, Tedopi, in lung cancer. In addition, we signed a major strategic partnership with AbbVie last February. This involves the development of OSE-230, a novel monoclonal antibody, and included an upfront payment of $48 million with potential milestone payments and royalties. And we have ongoing important collaborations with other companies such as Boehringer Ingelheim and Veloxis Pharmaceuticals.

These partnerships underscore our commitment to advancing innovative therapies and highlight the value of our research and development capabilities. All this effort last year, in addition to some positive clinical trial results, has increased confidence in our company, resulting in a solid financial position until 2027 and a stock price increase of around 69% year-on-year.

GF: How important is having a top team?

Autret-Cornet: In small companies like ours, resources are stretched, and so it is critical to have the best talent to achieve our strategic goals. I aim to bring on board team members who not only have the right skills and experience but also align with our company values and culture. As CFO, I also head up human resources, legal, and information technology—so it’s critical to have people who are highly accountable, incredibly engaged, and collaborate well across the organization.

GF: Can European governments do more to boost innovation?

Autret-Cornet: European countries can increase investment in research and development, provide tax incentives for innovative companies, and foster collaboration between academia and industry. We are seeing an increased use of artificial intelligence to speed up drug discovery and development processes. OSE recently announced a strategic collaboration in this space with Scienta Lab, a leader in AI-driven precision immunology.

GF: How are you making use of AI in finance at OSE?

Autret-Cornet: AI has been implemented for two years in our financial system. Already we have seen how it helps improve efficiency, accuracy, and decision-making processes: for example, in predictive analytics, scenario modeling, risk management, and automating routine tasks. I see AI evolving to become an integral part of financial operations, providing deeper insights and enabling more strategic decision-making. Beyond the AI tools we are using in our research and development processes, we are deploying tools that help employees in some of their daily tasks, and I’ll be keeping an eye out to see what more we can do.

GF: What keeps you up at night?

Autret-Cornet: Ensuring the financial health and sustainability of the company is always on my mind. Additionally, staying ahead of market trends and regulatory changes is a constant challenge.



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U.S. Mint’s 10-Coin Clad 2025 Proof Set Now Available


Produced and issued for the coin collector community, the United States Mint will release its 2025 Proof Set today at noon ET. Found within this year’s annual set are ten proof quality examples of the nation’s circulating coinage, all manufactured at the U.S. Mint’s San Francisco facility.

US Mint image 2025 Proof Set
U.S. Mint product image of their 2025 Proof Set. The five quarters of the set appear together in one protective lens with the remaining five coins completing a second lens.

Each clad coin in the set features the U.S. Mint’s proof finish, highlighting sharp reliefs and mirror-like backgrounds with frosted, sculpted foregrounds. Struck multiple times with polished dies and hand-polished blanks, these coins exhibit greater detail than their circulating counterparts.

This year’s proof set includes ten coins:

  • 2025-S Native American $1 Coin (honoring Mary Kawena Pukui)
  • 2025-S Kennedy Half Dollar
  • 2025-S Ida B. Wells Quarter
  • 2025-S Juliette Gordon Low Quarter
  • 2025-S Dr. Vera Rubin Quarter
  • 2025-S Stacey Park Milbern Quarter
  • 2025-S Althea Gibson Quarter
  • 2025-S Roosevelt Dime
  • 2025-S Jefferson Nickel
  • 2025-S Lincoln Cent

The set’s five quarters are housed together in a single protective lens, mirroring their presentation in the earlier released 2025 Quarters Proof Set, which contained the same coins and launched on February 20. These quarters stand out not only for their designs but also because they are issued exclusively in 2025.

CoinNews photo 2025 proof quarters in lens
This CoinNews photo shows a lens holding the year’s five quarters in the separately sold 2025 American Women Quarters Proof Set, priced at $26.50. These quarters are also included in the 2025 Proof Set, which contains an additional five coins. The 2025 Proof Set is priced at $40.25.

Another year-specific release in the set is the Mary Kawena Pukui Native American $1 Coin, which will also be produced only in 2025. The remaining five coins – the Kennedy half dollar, Roosevelt dime, Jefferson nickel, and Lincoln cent – feature longstanding designs that have appeared in previous years.

2025 Proof Set Coin Specifications

Here are the specifications for the clad coins included in the set:

Denomination: Penny Nickel Dime Quarter Half Dollar Native American $1 Coin
Finish: Proof Proof Proof Proof Proof Proof
Composition: 2.5% copper, balance zinc 25% nickel, balance copper 8.33% nickel, balance copper 8.33% nickel, balance copper 8.33% nickel, balance copper 6% zinc, 3.5% manganese, 2% nickel, balance copper
Weight: 2.500 grams 5.000 grams 2.268 grams 5.670 grams 11.340 grams 8.100
grams
Diameter: 0.750 inch (19.05 mm) 0.835 inch (21.21 mm) 0.705 inch (17.91 mm) 0.955 inch (24.26 mm) 1.205 inches (30.61 mm) 1.043
inches
(26.49
mm)
Edge: Plain Plain Reeded Reeded Reeded Lettered
Mint and Mint Mark: San Francisco – S San Francisco – S San Francisco – S San Francisco – S San Francisco – S San Francisco – S

 

Recent annual sales of the proof sets have reached the following figures:

2024 Proof Set 355,754
2023 Proof Set 369,233
2022 Proof Set 400,001
2021 Proof Set 512,866
2020 Proof Set 464,730
2019 Proof Set 601,364
2018 Proof Set 517,081
2017 Proof Set 568,678

 

Price, Limits and Ordering

Priced at $40.25, the set costs more than last year’s version, which contained the same number of coins and debuted at $35. Notably, the U.S. Mint set a maximum mintage of 420,002 for this release, whereas the 2024 set had no stated mintage limit.

San Francisco Mint-struck 2025 Proof Sets are available for purchase directly from the U.S. Mint through its online store page for annual sets.

No household order limit has been established for this product.



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Dividend Aristocrats In Focus: Amcor plc


Updated on March 3rd, 2025 by Felix Martinez

The Dividend Aristocrats are a group of 69 companies in the S&P 500 Index, with 25+ consecutive years of dividend increases. The Dividend Aristocrats each have strong business models, with competitive advantages that provide them with the ability to raise their dividends each year.

There are currently 69 Dividend Aristocrats. You can download an Excel spreadsheet of all 69 Dividend Aristocrats (with important financial metrics such as price-to-earnings ratios and dividend yields) by clicking the link below:

 

Disclaimer: Sure Dividend is not affiliated with S&P Global in any way. S&P Global owns and maintains The Dividend Aristocrats Index. The information in this article and downloadable spreadsheet is based on Sure Dividend’s own review, summary, and analysis of the S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF (NOBL) and other sources, and is meant to help individual investors better understand this ETF and the index upon which it is based. None of the information in this article or spreadsheet is official data from S&P Global. Consult S&P Global for official information.

In order to become a Dividend Aristocrat, a company must possess a profitable business model and durable competitive advantages, along with the ability to raise dividends even during recessions.

Consumer staples stocks such as Amcor plc (AMCR) have all the necessary qualities of a Dividend Aristocrat.

Amcor has increased its dividend for over 27 years in a row. Thanks to a very strong product portfolio, it has maintained its dividend growth streak.

Business Overview

Amcor plc, which trades on the NYSE today, was formed in June 2019 after the merger between two packaging companies, U.S.-based Bemis Co. Inc. and Australia-based Amcor Ltd.

Amcor develops and manufactures a wide range of packaging products for many consumer uses worldwide, including food and beverage, medical and medicinal, and home and personal care.

It consists of two main business segments: Flexible Packaging and Rigid Packaging.

Source: Investor Presentation

Amcor reported its second quarter Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 results on February 4th, 2025. Amcor reported solid financial results for the second quarter and first half of fiscal 2025, reaffirming its full-year outlook. In the December 2024 quarter, net sales reached $3.24 billion, with GAAP net income of $163 million and adjusted EPS rising 5% to 16.1 cents per share. First-half net sales totaled $6.59 billion, with GAAP net income of $354 million and adjusted EPS increasing 5% to 32.2 cents per share. The company also declared a quarterly dividend of 12.75 cents per share, reflecting a slight increase from the previous year.

Amcor continued to demonstrate steady volume growth, marking its fourth consecutive quarter of sequential improvement. Adjusted EBIT rose 5% in the second quarter and 4% for the first half on a comparable constant currency basis, supported by expanding margins and strong cost management. Despite challenges in certain sectors like healthcare, the company maintained stability across its flexible and rigid packaging segments. It also reaffirmed its fiscal 2025 guidance, projecting adjusted EPS of 72–76 cents per share and free cash flow between $900 million and $1 billion.

A major highlight of the quarter was Amcor’s announced merger with Berry Global, which is expected to accelerate growth and enhance shareholder value. The combination will create a stronger, more innovative packaging company with $650 million in identified synergies. The deal is expected to close by mid-2025, expanding Amcor’s portfolio and strengthening its position in key markets. CEO Peter Konieczny emphasized that the merger aligns with Amcor’s focus on customers, sustainability, and innovation.

 

Source: Investor Presentation

Growth Prospects

Amcor is counting on its Bemis acquisition to drive strong growth over the next half-decade. The main factors that will drive this growth acceleration are its global footprint, which will open up new attractive end markets and customers for the company’s products, and greater economies of scale, which will drive efficiencies and higher margins.

Another growth catalyst for Amcor is the emerging markets such as China and Latin America, where economic growth is high and demand for packaging products is rising.

The company is also undergoing an aggressive share buyback program that should boost per-share growth.

Furthermore, its balance sheet is quite strong, with a relatively low leverage ratio, giving it flexibility to finance its dividends and share repurchases and remain opportunistic about future growth opportunities.

We believe that all of these factors should combine to generate solid 4% annualized earnings per share growth over the next half decade.

Competitive Advantages & Recession Performance

Its industry leadership position fuels Amcor’s competitive advantages. Although Amcor’s headquarters are in Europe, its largest markets are in the Americas. That means Amcor should be relatively safe from potential future declines to the pound (or to the Australian dollar, for that matter).

In addition, Amcor’s products are used every day around the world. People around the world will continue to need packaging. Amcor’s emphasis on recyclable and reusable products should appeal to more environmentally conscious end users, while the merger with Bemis brings it huge prospects in developing markets.

Plus, with the merger into one gigantic manufacturing entity, Amcor has increased ability to negotiate better costs from its suppliers. This should make Amcor an unstoppable force in the packaging industry.

Amcor is also fairly resistant to recessions. As Amcor as it exists today (post merger) was not a publicly-traded company during the Great Recession, its earnings-per-share performance during the downturn is not available.

It is reasonable to assume Amcor’s earnings-per-share would decline somewhat during a recession, as the company’s global business model is reliant on economic growth. But it should continue paying (and raising) its dividend each year for the foreseeable future.

Valuation & Expected Returns

We expect Amcor to generate earnings per share of $0.73 in 2025. Based on this, shares of Amcor are currently trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.8.

Even using a conservative multiple, we think that a recession-resistant Dividend Aristocrat with mid-single-digit growth prospects such as Amcor should trade for 15 times earnings. Therefore, we view the stock as undervalued valued right now.

A fair five-year expected earnings-per-share growth rate of 4.0% and the 5.0% dividend yield will help boost shareholder returns. We expect annualized total annual returns of approximately 10.7% through 2030.

Final Thoughts

Amcor is uniquely positioned for strong growth in the coming years thanks to its recent acquisition, which has opened up several new attractive end markets and provided an opportunity to unlock valuable synergies. Furthermore, the company has the balance sheet to fund growth investments and share repurchases, which should boost EPS moving forward.

As a result, we think that shares offer decent value here. With expectations of ~10.7% annualized total returns over the next half decade, we view Amcor as an attractive buy right now.

That said, it could be an opportunity for dividend growth investors with a more conservative outlook, as its 5.0% yield is above average for the S&P 500 and its strong growth track record and recession-resistant business model make it an attractive long-term holding.

Finally, with its solid growth outlook, it will likely continue growing its dividend for the foreseeable future.

If you are interested in finding more high-quality dividend growth stocks suitable for long-term investment, the following Sure Dividend databases will be useful:

The major domestic stock market indices are another solid resource for finding investment ideas. Sure Dividend compiles the following stock market databases and updates them monthly:

Thanks for reading this article. Please send any feedback, corrections, or questions to [email protected].





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The Single Most Important Number in Investing


I was great at buying the right stocks… but I was a terrible investor.

Editor’s Note: A lot of folks know I recommended NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) back in 2019.

And since then, that stock has soared more than 3,000%.

I still consider NVIDIA my Stock of the Decade. But I don’t love the stock. Because after more than four decades in the market, I’ve learned not to “fall in love” with any particular stock.

Instead, I let the fundamentals speak for themselves. And that’s why I rely on my proven quant system to be my guiding star.

After all, it doesn’t have an emotional connection to a stock. It lets the numbers do the talking.

My friend and colleague Keith Kaplan, operates the same way.

Keith is a gifted computer programmer and fintech pioneer. He’s the CEO of a company called TradeSmith, which produces some of the most powerful stock-trading algorithms I’ve seen. More than 60,000 people use Keith’s algorithms to track some $30 billion in assets. And they’ve reported making millions in the process.

For the past three months, Keith’s team has been working on a highly secretive project.
It’s a new kind of algorithm designed to do one thing: detect the start of technical melt-ups before they happen.

And right now, it’s pointing to an ultra-rare event poised to disrupt the market…
In fact, it has only been seen twice before going back to the year 1900. And that’s why Keith is making what he calls “the biggest prediction in TradeSmith’s 20-year history.”

And just days from now, he’ll reveal his full prediction for the first time ever.

On February 27 at 8 p.m. Eastern, Keith will take you behind the paywall of his powerful $5,000 software to reveal 10 tech stocks poised soar as this event unfolds.

Either one could become the Next NVIDIA in terms of potential gains.

You’ll get his full list – and his full prediction – when you join his briefing next Thursday. I suggest you go here and get your name on Keith’s attendee list right now.

**************************

I love stocks and the market. I love reading about, thinking about it and, best of all, profiting from it.

But year after year, I found the same thing happening to me over and over again.

I was great at buying the right stocks… but I was a terrible investor.

If you’re anything like the average investor, this has happened to you too.

Ask yourself this: How many times have you bought a stock, then sold it, just to find out that it rose much further?

This happens for a few reasons. And chances are, if you’re anything like me, it’s happened to you in the past… a lot.

To help prevent this kind of impulsive decision making, I made it my mission to develop a system that prevents me from doing that to my portfolio…

It has worked wonders for me!

And it can help you too.

And today I’m going to show you how it works…

The Right Way to Buy and Sell

In October 2016, I bought Advanced Micro Devices (AMD).

This action makes me look like a genius; AMD has gained more than 1,000% since I bought into the stock.

But I’m not a genius because I sold nearly right away …

Why did I sell?

I trusted my gut. The same gut that I trust to judge right and wrong and who to be friends with. You know, the emotional being in me that makes all my decisions.

Clearly, that didn’t work out well for me. And you probably have a lot of these types of examples too.

So how is it that we can buy the right stocks, but we wind up being terrible investors?

Well, because we make quick decisions when we trust our gut.

Do you have a regimented process for understanding exactly when to buy a stock, how much to buy, and when to sell it?

I do NOW, and it all starts with this formula below …

Before I unpack this for you, let me tell you about the findings of two Nobel Prize winners in behavioral economics.

You may have heard about Richard Thaler and Daniel Kahneman. Their groundbreaking studies of behavioral economics and investor psychology ultimately won them both the Nobel Prize.

Their first finding was that we are “risk-seeking when we’re losing.”

This is simple. And I bet you’ve had this happen plenty of times. I call it “rationalizing your decision after you make it.” When a stock is falling, you say to yourself:

  • I’m going to buy this on the dip.
  • This stock will come back, and my break-even price will be lower.
  • It’s just a paper loss.

Really, what you’re doing is adding more risk to your position. You are “seeking out more risk” by buying more OR holding on to a falling stock.

Momentum is the single most important factor in investing. MSCI Inc. has studied this factor and labeled it one of the most important in reference to a stock’s rising or falling. Here’s what that means in plain speak: When a stock has a confirmed uptrend, it is more likely to rise in the short term. When a stock has a confirmed downtrend, it is more likely to fall in the short term.

And by buying more of a stock as it’s falling, or by “waiting” for that stock to turn around, you are taking on risk and even increasing risk. You are setting yourself up to lose more money.

So how do you combat that? You cut your losses when a stock is in a confirmed downtrend. Stop the bleeding.

But what Thaler and Kahneman found about winning is even more important to understand. They found that when a stock rises, we are “risk-averse when we are winning.”

Here’s what that means, and I’m sure you’ve been there with me. Typically, when a stock is rising, we get excited. We have a winner! So we decide to sell our stock to “lock in our gains.”

Folks, that’s lowering our risk. That’s taking money off the table.

But we’re winning!

When a stock is rising, and it is in a confirmed uptrend, you are winning. Here is where you want to take more risk, folks!

This is the BEST TIME to either ride the winner higher or even add more money to the position to take advantage of its short-term rising outlook.

And that leads me to our (TradeSmith’s) discovery of the single most important number in investing AND why it works.

This number is the formula I showed you above for the “VQ,” which stands for Volatility Quotient.

And it solves so many problems that individual investors face today. Certainly people like me, and likely you as well.

It’s a measure of historical and recent volatility – or risk – in a stock, fund, or crypto. And that measurement is really focused on the moves a stock, fund, or crypto makes.

Here’s what it tells you (I’ll just refer to stocks, but it covers everything we track):

  • How much of a stock to buy.
  • And how risky that stock is – how much movement you should expect.

To show you an example, here are the VQs of some popular stocks:

Let me leave you with a single nugget that may change your investing life forever. It certainly has changed mine …

The trend is your friend.

If the confirmed trend is up, stay in your stock. Ride the winner! If the trend is a confirmed downtrend, cut your losses.

The best way to get the most out of a winner and cut the loser (and of course, winners become losers at times) is to deploy a trailing stop. A trailing stop acts as a point at which you sell a stock (or any other fund, crypto, etc.).

When you buy a stock, you specify what your trailing stop is – most people pick a “generic” number like 25%. That means that from the moment you own a stock, there is a stop loss number at which you will then sell the stock, and the trailing stop trails the highs (but not the lows) that the stock makes.

If you buy a stock at $100 and it goes down over time by 25% and never makes a new high since you purchased it, you sell at $75.

If that stock rises to $200 and never falls 25% from a high, you’re still in that position, and your stop out point is $150.

So you ride your winners and cut your losers.

But NO TWO stocks, funds, or cryptos are the same. That’s why you can use the VQ number for each stock you buy to determine exactly what the right stop loss would be.

Looking at the table I posted above with popular VQs, that means your stop loss for Johnson & Johnson would be about 12%. But for Tesla, your stop loss would be around 49%.

Tesla moves around more than three times as much as Johnson & Johnson. Now you know that if you were to buy Tesla, you would have to suffer through a lot of thrashing around, but it may be worth it.

And on my AMD trade, had I followed a 25% trailing stop, I would have made nearly 50% instead of losing 3.5%!

And had I used a VQ-based trailing stop, well, I could have followed the signals and made more than 1,300%. I would have known that AMD is risky and moves around a lot.

So… the VQ is important. It sets expectations and gives you a framework for making better decisions.

It turns great stock pickers into great investors!

I honestly believe it’s the most important number in investing.

On Feb. 27 at 8 p.m. Eastern, I’m going to unveil the biggest prediction in my company’s 20-year history. And I’ll explain how anybody can use the VQ to make data-driven decisions about their investments. It’s free to attend; all you have to do is register.

Happy investing!

Keith Kaplan

CEO, TradeSmith



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Amid price discovery turmoil, the US dollar loses its crown – United States


Written by the Market Insights Team

A new regional trade war

Kevin Ford –FX & Macro Strategist

Most market participants were expecting a pause in tariffs for at least another month. However, following last weekend’s heated meeting with Ukraine’s leader, it seems President Trump couldn’t afford to adopt a softer stance. He made it unequivocally clear that there’s no room for America’s closest neighbors to negotiate their way out of these duties. This marked a shift from his typical transactional approach, igniting concerns across equity markets, which erased last Friday’s gains. A wave of risk-aversion swept through North American markets as investors grappled with the implications of a new regional trade war.

Interestingly, the USD/CAD’s reaction to Trump’s confirmation of 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico and confirmation of Canada’s retaliatory tariffs has been notably subdued compared to a month ago. This could reflect tariff fatigue, the market’s preemptive pricing of the news, or an adaptation to the ever-evolving tariff landscape. However, the most compelling factor appears to be the shifting narrative around the US dollar. Recent soft macro data, fears of competitive devaluation, and potential policy missteps have weighed heavily on the greenback, softening its immediate impact on the Loonie. Yesterday, the US dollar DXY index dropped 0.9%, underscoring this trend. In the chaos of price discovery, the dollar’s dominance has waned, US rates are lower, Bitcoin has retreated from six-digit highs, and US stocks have shifted from leaders to laggards.

Over the past two weeks, the macro narrative has shifted dramatically. On February 12th, Fed Chair Jay Powell highlighted solid economic growth during his Congressional testimony. Yet, just two weeks later, the Atlanta Fed Nowcast slashed its Q1 GDP estimate from +2.9% to -1.5%, driven by trade disruptions as Americans rushed to import goods ahead of tariffs. Other factors—declining consumer confidence, weaker retail activity, and falling inflation expectations—have compounded the slowdown.

Adding to uncertainty, yesterday, the ISM manufacturing index slipped to 50.3 in February, missing expectations. Gains in supplier delivery times offset declines in new orders and employment, but without the supplier delivery boost, the index would have signaled contraction. While a US recession remains unlikely, the risks of a broader slowdown are steadily gaining traction.

For now, when it comes to this regional trade war, the key concern is duration. The longer tariffs remain in place, the more challenging it will be—particularly for Canada—to adjust its fiscal, monetary, and internal trade policies to this new economic reality.

Chart: Mexico and Canada are the most vulnerable in a long-term trade conflict with the US.

USD: Macro weakness trumps tariff risks

Boris Kovacevic – Global Macro Strategist

Investors don’t like to fight an economic trend once it has established itself. That risk averse behavior is on display this week as investors continue to rotate from equities to bonds on every data miss we get. Mounting signs suggest that U.S. economic momentum is slowing. Last week’s data surprised to the downside, and the deterioration continued with the latest ISM PMI report. The manufacturing barometer rose less than expected in February, inching up from 50.9 to 50.3—barely signaling expansion. Meanwhile, the employment index slipped into negative territory, and price growth accelerated in anticipation of tariffs.

The impact: The Atlanta Fed’s Q1 GDP nowcast plunged from 2.3% just two days ago to -2.8%, a dramatic 5% downward swing. This shift underscores the transition from U.S. exceptionalism to rising stagflation risks. The dollar fell nearly 1%, erasing last week’s tariff-induced gains. So far, our Greenback thesis from a month ago has proven correct—we expected the U.S. dollar to be pulled between tariff hikes (supportive) and weakening macro data (detrimental). With tariffs seemingly better priced in than deteriorating data, EUR/USD and GBP/USD have responded asymmetrically in our favour.

However, FX investors cannot afford complacency regarding trade risks. President Trump dismissed any hope of further tariff delays on Canadian and Mexican goods, tweeting yesterday that negotiations were off the table. Equity benchmarks declined across the board as the dollar regained some stability, yet the tariff drama was insufficient to fully offset the macro-driven losses from yesterday’s session.

Chart: Dollar can't bet on growth for support anymore.

EUR: supported by European defence spending

George Vessey – Lead FX & Macro Strategist

It doesn’t bode well for Europe that US President Donald Trump followed through on his tariff threats against Mexico, Canada and China, promoting swift retaliation from the latter two. European equity future are down almost 1% this morning, reversing some of Monday’s defence-led rally as investors upped their bets that governments across the region will have to boost expenditure and shoulder more of the burden for their security. Will this really support Eurozone growth and curtail some of the ECB’s easing cycle though?

The main reason for the euro’s resilience of late has been the softer US economic backdrop, but the news of potential increases in Eurozone defence spending also appears to have lifted euro sentiment. EUR/USD rose back above $1.05 briefly, rebounding from a two-week low of $1.0360 touched on Friday. UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer said Britain and France will lead a “coalition of the willing” to draft a plan with Kyiv and allies to end the Russia-Ukraine war and ensure security guarantees for the US. Germany may play a key role in boosting defence spending, with reports suggesting new special funds of up to €900bn for defence and infrastructure spending. This spending and rising hopes of a peace deal in Ukraine supported the euro, trumping the tariff risk for now, but increased risk aversion across financial markets will likely limit the upside potential, and indeed we’ve seen EUR/USD slip back under $1.05 already this morning.

On the macro front, yesterday’s Eurozone inflation data revealed inflation fell for the first time in four months to 2.4%, underpinning ECB rate-setters’ hopes that the recent uptick in price pressures is proving temporary. The February figure was slightly worse than economists’ expectations 2.3%, however, two measures of underlying inflation also ticked down, such as services inflation, which came in at 3.7% from 3.9%  – the lowest level since April 2024.

Chart: Services price expectations continue to moderate.

GBP: turning bullish versus dollar

George Vessey – Lead FX & Macro Strategist

Sterling catapulted above its 100-day moving average of $1.2620 yesterday, recording a daily gain of around 1% and hitting a fresh 2025 high of $1.2723. Such a move could lead to further gains towards the 200-day moving average at $1.2785 with short-dated implied volatility on the pound rising for a fifth straight day — the longest winning streak since late December.

We’ve recently been reporting whether the pound would exhibit it’s typical risk-averse behaviour in the wake of tariffs or whether it is safe haven of sorts as the UK is seen as less vulnerable to US tariffs due to the UK’s goods trade deficit with the US. Arguably, it’s neither in this case, as FX markets appear to be more concerned around the economic slowdown in the US alongside European leaders pushing forward with plans to boost defence spending and support Ukraine. Sterling also gained strength from expectations that UK interest rates will remain higher for longer. Bank of England Deputy Governor Ramsden highlighted that persistent wage pressures could keep inflation above target, though he noted future rate cuts may not be gradual. This outlook, combined with geopolitical developments, has boosted investor confidence in the pound for now.

There is certainly evidence of trade-sensitive currencies weakening with GBP/CAD rising to a new 7-year high and GBP/AUD scaling a new 5-year high, but the illiquid and risk-sensitive Swedish krona has been the top performer this week. The krona has emerged as a favoured currency, surging more than 2% versus the US dollar on Monday and GBP/SEK falling almost two standard deviations more than its average daily shift to the downside. Why? Because the Sweden’s military industry is seen as a major beneficiary of any funding increase with defence exports among the biggest of major economies as a share of GDP.

Chart: Pockets of unusual volatility across FX, particularly for SEK

US dollar keeps losing ground against majors

Table: 7-day currency trends and trading ranges

7-day currency trends and trading ranges.

Key global risk events

Calendar: March 03-07

Key global risk events calendar.

All times are in ET

Have a question? [email protected]

*The FX rates published are provided by Convera’s Market Insights team for research purposes only. The rates have a unique source and may not align to any live exchange rates quoted on other sites. They are not an indication of actual buy/sell rates, or a financial offer.



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Sustainable Finance Awards 2025: Asia-Pacific


Across Asia, banks are deeply embedding adherence to both general ESG principles and the UN Sustainable Development Goals into their core business operations, client relationships, and finance products. Increasingly the banks limit financing of coal operations, weapons manufacturers, manufacturers of environmentally harmful chemicals, and other businesses deemed detrimental to the environment and societies. Instead, through green and sustainability-linked loans, bonds, and other products, the banks are striving to help the countries, organizations, and citizens they serve become environmental stewards. (In fact, Asian corporations often turn to banks for help setting their own environmental policies and procedures.) These activities are particularly important on a continent historically plagued by significant air, water, and soil pollution. Finance products offered range from retail solar mortgages and special loans for electric vehicles to bonds financing the construction of massive wind-power farms and green steel manufacturing plants.

Asia wields significant economic influence on the world stage. But poor infrastructure, political instability, and massive income inequality leave a significant portion of the Asian populace living in poverty. Understanding that sustainable development includes improving the lives of the disadvantaged, banks now offer a host of microloans to historically underrepresented business owners—from female entrepreneurs to small-scale farmers.

Banks like to tout their ESG achievements, and these achievements aren’t just puffery. Banks’ significant reporting on their environmental efforts demonstrates their sustainability leadership, engendering confidence in customers and investors.

DBS

Best Bank for Sustainable Finance

Best Bank for Transition/Sustainability-Linked Loans

DBS’ portfolio of sustainable finance products is vast, ranging from green loans and sustainability-linked loans to social loans and green trade finance. The bank’s green financing portfolio in China alone grew 62% from 2023 to 2024. DBS acted as sole green finance adviser for a 500 million Japanese yen (about $3.3 million) loan for Envision Energy, a wind-turbine manufacturer. DBS was selected by the People’s Bank of China for this role. Envision will use these funds for the construction of a 100 MW wind-power project to serve the national grid in Puyang. The project is expected to generate 270 GW of renewable energy and avoid an estimated 212,600 tons of carbon emissions annually.

In Singapore, DBS acted as financial adviser and mandated lead arranger for a loan to renewable-power generator Rexus Bioenergy. This loan will fund a wood-to-energy plant. The plant will help transform Singapore’s significant wood waste into potassium fertilizer, compost, and other agricultural materials. Transition/sustainability-linked loans include a 350 million Hong Kong dollar (about $45 million) deal with Kwoon Chung Bus, for which DBS acted as mandated lead arranger. Kwoon Chung Bus is Hong Kong’s largest bus company. This loan will help it reduce greenhouse gases through the adoption of more environmentally friendly Euro VI diesel commercial vehicles into its fleet.

CTBC (Project Trinity/Offshore Wind)

Sustainable Finance Deal of the Year

CTBC Bank called upon its extensive knowledge of the offshore wind sector and CTBC’s relationships with state-owned banks to achieve financing for Ørsted’s Project Trinity (see the Global Winners section of this article). In fact, CTBC Bank was able to bring three state-owned banks into the deal. Through those relationships and other activities, CTBC Bank helped Ørsted implement Trinity to enhance the existing Greater Changhua Offshore Wind complex. Phases 1 and 2 of this project became operational in 2023, providing power to roughly a million homes. Project Trinity, expected to be completed by 2026, will power an additional million households. This clean energy will aid Taiwan in meeting its goal of achieving net-zero carbon emissions by 2050. CTBC Bank acted as mandated lead arranger, financial adviser, and agent for this project.

China Central Depository & Clearing Co.

Best Platform/Technology Facilitating Sustainable Finance (Non-Bank)

The State Council of the People’s Republic of China is the nation’s chief administrative authority. In 1996, it funded the China Central Depository & Clearing Co. as a reorganization of the former National Exchange and Trading System. This company acts as a centralized financial enterprise, providing financial market infrastructure services to banks across China. Services focus on the depository and clearing of government bonds and other securities. The company has played a significant role in the development and standardization of China’s bond market—improving the safety of bond issuances, and easing registration, custody, and settlement processes. In addition to work discussed in the Global Winners section of this article, the company develops indices related to sustainable development and has crafted new standards for ESG evaluation.

Societe Generale

Best Bank for Sustainable Infrastructure/Project Finance

Societe Generale (SocGen) has done significant work in the construction of battery energy storage systems (BESSs). These systems enable energy from renewables—including solar and wind power—to be stored and released as needed. BESSs funded by SocGen will store energy associated with a 1.5 GW portfolio of eight solar and wind farms being constructed in Australia by Neoen. Also in Australia, SocGen acted as mandated lead arranger for $400 million Australian dollars (about $255 million) in debt financing for construction of the third phase of the Melbourne Renewable Energy Hub. The hub, comprising three BESS storage projects of 200 MW each, will provide 1.6 GW of energy storage—capable of powering up to 200,000 Australian homes. In Indonesia, SocGen acted as mandated lead arranger for the Project IKN 50 MW solar power plant, along with associated BESS systems.

Maybank

Best Bank for Sustainable Financing in Emerging Markets

Best Bank for Sustainability Transparency

Maybank is committed to transparency in its ESG activities and in working with clients committed to environmentally sound operations. The bank often discusses its goal of achieving net-zero carbon emissions by 2050. To clarify that goal, it recently published a 70-page white paper called Banking on a Better Tomorrow: Our Commitment to Net Zero. The paper provides a detailed report on the bank’s approach to setting net-zero targets for clients operating in hard-to-abate sectors. It specifically outlines goals for the power, agriculture, aluminum, and steel industries. Additional papers are planned for the commercial real estate and automotive sectors. To ensure that Maybank works with clients committed to sustainability, the bank has developed a proprietary Net Zero carbon calculator, helping Maybank integrate sustainability into its financing decisions. The bank also annually updates its sustainable product framework and transition finance framework.

In addition to Maybank’s work in emerging markets discussed under the Global Winners section of this article, in 2024 the bank launched the HERpower loan program to support women-led small and midsize enterprises (SMEs) whose companies focus on sustainability and social impact. The program provides female entrepreneurs with tailored financing solutions along with invitations to special events and workshops. Fees for traditional banking services are waived for program participants.

Bank Of China

Best Bank for Green Bonds

In the first half of 2024, the Bank of China underwrote 98.4 billion Chinese yuan (about $13.6 billion) in Chinese green bonds, ranking first among Chinese banks. The scale of overseas green bond underwriting that year was $9.2 billion. Among the green bonds issued in 2024 were $940 million for Belt and Road Initiative countries, allocated to promote sustainable development. Projects funded include green and social efforts such as electric-vehicle battery manufacturing in Hungary, renewable-energy transmission in Slovakia, wind power in Uzbekistan, and sustainable fisheries in Chile. Also of note was the September issuance of a $400 billion green bond in Dubai. Proceeds will fund construction of a hybrid solar/photovoltaic power project. A second project in that country will reduce railways’ CO2 emissions by about 334,000 tons annually.

Industrial Bank of Korea

Best Bank for Social Bonds

From January through November of 2024, the Industrial Bank of Korea (IBK) issued a total of 8.6 trillion South Korean won (about $6 billion) in social bonds. The bank reports that these bonds account for more than 22% of its own portfolio and more than 70% of all the social bonds issued by South Korean banks. Among these were an $800 million diversity and inclusion social bond to finance micro, small, and midsize enterprises (MSMEs) owned by women, people of color, and other underrepresented groups. This was the bank’s largest-ever foreign currency bond issuance. This issuance builds on a $600 million five-year, gender-equity-themed social bond issued by IBK in 2023. Proceeds from that bond were channeled toward the financing and/or refinancing of new and existing loans for women-led MSMEs.

BPI

Best Bank for Sustainable Bonds

Best Bank for Sustaining Communities

The Bank of the Philippine Islands (BPI) has done extensive work in the field of sustaining communities. In 2024, the bank’s microfinance arm (BPI BanKo) partnered with agricultural fintech Agrilever to launch the AgriNegosyoKo Loan Program, aiming to help farmers in the Philippines strengthen their agricultural practices and improve their livelihoods. The AgriNegosyoKo Loan Program offers customized loans ranging from 50,000 to 300,000 Philippine pesos (about $863 to $5,180). These loans enable farmers to invest in land and equipment. Financial education is also offered. The bank’s new Green Solutions program marks the first collection of eco-friendly housing and automobile loans in the Philippines. The loans finance individuals’ purchase of solar panels as well as electric and hybrid vehicles. LavLoans (short for “lavender,” a color symbolizing support for those suffering from cancer) is a new program offering multipurpose cash loans to cancer patients and their families in need of immediate access to funds. No collateral is needed.

In addition to BPI’s work in sustainable bonds already noted in the Global Winners section of this article, BPI in 2024 served as sole issue manager, joint lead underwriter, and joint bookrunner for Maynilad water and wastewater service company’s 15 billion Philippine peso blue bond for sustainable water and wastewater management activities. It was the nation’s first SEC-registered blue bond.        —LS

Regional Winners: Asia-Pacific
Best Bank for Sustainable Finance DBS
Sustainable Finance Deal of the Year CTBC (Project Trinity/Offshore Wind)
Best Platform/Technology Facilitating
Sustainable Finance (Non-Bank)
China Central Depository & Clearing Co.
Best Bank for Sustainable
Infrastructure/Project Finance
Societe Generale
Best Bank for Sustainable Financing
in Emerging Markets
Maybank
Best Bank for Green Bonds Bank of China
Best Bank for Social Bonds Industrial Bank of Korea
Best Bank for Sustainable Bonds BPI
Best Bank for Sustaining Communities BPI
Best Bank for ESG-Related Loans DBS
Best Bank for Sustainability Transparency Maybank
Best Bank for Transition/Sustainability
Linked Loans
DBS



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