Archives May 2025

What To Expect From Tuesday’s Report On Inflation



Key Takeaways

  • Tariff-related inflation will unlikely be evident in April’s report on the Consumer Price Index due Tuesday, economists say.
  • Businesses that import items from overseas stockpiled goods in anticipation of the tariffs, giving them some breathing room to avoid raising prices on customers just yet.
  • Price increases will likely take effect over the next three months, according to forecasts.

You may see some price increases from tariffs in your recent shopping trips, but you won’t see them in Wednesday’s official report on inflation in April, forecasters say. 

A report on the Consumer Price Index by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Tuesday is likely to show the cost of living rose 2.3% over the 12 months ending in April, according to a survey of economists by Dow Jones Newswires and the Wall Street Journal. That would be the lowest inflation since February 2021, before inflation flared in the wake of the pandemic.

President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs against U.S. trading partners are still likely to push up consumer prices, economists said. Merchants are expected to pass the cost of the import taxes on to consumers.

However, since many of the tariffs announced so far weren’t implemented until April, tariff inflation may not make much of a dent in official data for at least a few months. Some businesses had stockpiled inventory from abroad before the tariffs went into effect, giving them some financial breathing room to wait and see if the tariffs stay in place before adjusting their prices.

“Despite the actualization of tariffs, we do not expect April to be a light-switch moment in goods inflation,” economists at Wells Fargo Securities wrote in a commentary. “The pull-forward of imports, efforts not to alienate customers and general confusion over policy changes are likely to result in a more incremental strengthening in prices.”

Forecasters at Goldman Sachs said tariff price increases would likely hit in the three months following them going into effect, with other prices continuing to rise through the rest of the year as the effects ripple through the economy.

As for April, price increases likely stayed relatively tame by most measures. “Core” inflation, which excludes volatile prices for food and energy, is expected to rise 2.8% over the year, the same as in March, according to the median forecast.



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Fed Officials Remain Focused On Possibility Tariffs Will Spur Inflation



Key Takeaways

  • Federal Reserve officials speaking Friday emphasized the risks that tariffs imposed by the Trump administration will stoke inflation.
  • The Fed, which manages the nation’s monetary policy with the goal of keeping inflation and unemployment in check, may find itself in a bind if it has to choose between lowering interest rates to boost the economy against a tariff-induced slowdown, or keeping them high to control inflation.
  • One policymaker defended the central bank’s independence from political pressure, days after President Donald Trump reiterated his criticisms of Fed Chair Powell for not cutting interest rates.

If you’re waiting for the Federal Reserve to lower borrowing costs, don’t hold your breath. Out of the multiple Federal Reserve officials who spoke Friday, none sounded in a big hurry to cut the central bank’s benchmark interest rate.

In speeches and interviews, Fed officials gave their take on how the economy is holding up under President Donald Trump’s campaign of tariffs, and how the central bank is likely to respond. Although Trump has demanded lower interest rates, which would boost the economy, the central bank has so far resisted, holding rates steady out of concern that lower rates would stoke inflation.

Fed officials pushed back against both the idea of lowering rates soon, and the idea that the independent central bank should take direction from elected officials. Economists predict Trump’s tariffs, which mainly took effect in April, will push up consumer prices and discourage job growth the longer they stay in effect, potentially damaging both sides of the Fed’s dual mission to keep inflation in check and employment high.

As of Friday, financial markets were pricing in a probability that the Fed would lower its benchmark interest rate in July, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool, which forecasts rate movements based on fed funds futures trading data. However, the outlook for the economy, and interest rates, are more uncertain than usual—no one knows for sure how the modern economy and its vastly complex supply chains will react to the highest tariffs in generations.

Concerns About Public’s Inflation Expectations

John C. Williams, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, emphasized the importance of the price stability side of the Fed’s “dual mandate” Friday in an interview on Bloomberg Television.

“One thing we’ve learned from history is that having well-anchored inflation expectations, having the public have confidence that regardless of whatever’s happening today that inflation will come back to 2% and that we’ll make sure that happens, is very important for price stability,” Williams said. “It actually helps reinforce our ability to achieve both of our goals.”

Fed officials and many economists closely watch surveys of consumer expectations for how much prices will rise in the future, in the belief that inflation expectations can be a self-fulfilling prophecy: people could rush to buy things before prices rise. That could create a rush of demand that would allow businesses to raise prices.

Fed governor Adriana Kugler also put inflation concerns first and foremost when explaining why the Federal Open Market Committee, the bank’s policymaking group, had chosen to keep interest rates flat, at an elevated rate, in its meeting last week, speaking in a separate interview with Bloomberg. Kugler said the progress against inflation had been slowing down before the tariffs shook up the outlook, and echoed Williams’s concerns about keeping the public’s expectations of inflation in check.

“We see some upside risks to inflation from the tariffs that are currently in place, and given that, it makes sense to make sure we keep the federal funds rate moderately restrictive,” she said.

Kugler noted that so far, the job market has stayed resilient, so she saw little need to lower rates to boost employment.

Federal Reserve governor Michael S. Barr said it was unclear whether the tariffs would do more damage on the inflation or the employment front, so he favored waiting and seeing which emerged as the bigger threat.

“I am equally concerned that tariffs will lead to higher unemployment as the economy slows,” he said in a speech at the Reykjavík Economic Conference in Iceland, according to prepared remarks. “Thus, the FOMC may be in a difficult position if we were to see both rising inflation and rising unemployment.”

The Importance of Central Bank Independence

At least one Fed official, however, was uncertain about how much the tariffs will actually push up prices. While many economists expect companies to pass the costs of the import taxes on to their customers, Tom Barkin, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, showed some skepticism about how much that would happen.

“What I’m hearing from retailers is that consumers are about tapped out,” Barkin said at an event at the Loudoun County Chamber of Commerce, Bloomberg reported. “And that means that it’s nice to say you’re going to pass it on, but it’s not as easy to pass it on as you might think.”

Fed governor Christopher Waller focused on the value of the central bank’s independence. The Fed is structured so that its officials cannot be fired by the president. That gives them the leeway to make decisions that might be beneficial in the long run, but unpopular, and politically damaging to a president in the short run. Waller pointed to his own research, and that of other economists, showing that independent central banks were better for nations’ economies than ones that were influenced by politicians.

“I would argue that it has stood the test of time, and I hope that it continues to be in place for years to come,” Waller said at the The Hoover Institution think tank in Stanford, California, according to prepared remarks.



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Index Pulls Back Early Climb Amid Anticipation of Trade Talks



Key Takeaways

  • The S&P 500 fell 0.1% on Friday, May 9, 2025 as investors waited for fresh developments on tariffs ahead of a weekend meeting between U.S. and Chinese officials.
  • Shares of Insulet surged after the insulin pump maker lifted its full-year revenue outlook and analysts lifted their price targets for the stock.
  • Expedia shares tumbled after the company lowered its full-year outlook amid weak U.S. travel demand.

Major U.S. equities indexes pulled back from their early gains Friday as investors wait for new developments on tariffs ahead of a weekend meeting between U.S. and Chinese officials.

The S&P 500 finished lower by 0.1% as the benchmark index broke a two-day winning streak to end the week lower by about 0.5%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down about 0.3% Friday, while the Nasdaq was unchanged. Both indexes also finished the week in negative territory.

Shares of insulin pump maker Insulet (PODD) surged by more than 20% Friday to pace the S&P 500, after the company reported stronger-than-anticipated quarterly results and lifted its full-year revenue outlook. Jefferies analysts lifted their price target on the stock to $360 from $350, suggesting significant upside from the stock’s close near $311 Friday.

Microchip Technology (MCHP) jumped by 12.6% after several analysts raised their price targets for the stock on the chipmaker’s better-than-expected outlook. While Microchip’s fourth-quarter sales fell 27% year-over-year, analysts were expecting a steeper drop.

Tesla (TSLA) shares jumped 4.7% to post gains for the third straight week amid optimism about new U.S. trade deals. The surge came after a weak start to the week following a string of reports on declining sales in Europe and China.

Akamai Technologies (AKAM) stock declined more than 10% after Scotiabank lowered its price target on the cybersecurity and cloud computing company to $105 from $107, with its shares closing just above $76 on Friday.

Expedia Group (EXPE) shares tumbled nearly 8% after the travel booking service delivered worse-than-expected first quarter results and lowered its full-year outlook amid weak U.S. travel demand. CEO Ariane Gorin said the company managed to grow bookings and revenue “despite weaker than expected demand in the U.S.”

Shares of TKO Group Holdings (TKO), the parent of World Wrestling Entertainment and Ultimate Fighting Championship, fell 5.5% after earnings missed analysts’ expectations. The company lifted its full-year revenue forecast.



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Gradually, then Suddenly – The Coming AI Tidal Wave


Trump suggests lower tariffs on China … more AI-based layoffs … labor force pain “gradually then suddenly” … Eric Fry is eyeing nuclear power … cute tiger cubs

Let’s begin with the latest trade war chatter.

This morning, President Trump floated the idea of dropping the 145% tariff on China to 80%, while also hinting at additional deals on the way.

From Trump on Truth Social:

80% Tariff on China seems right! Up to Scott B.

Many Trade Deals in the hopper, all good (GREAT!) ones!

While lower, an 80% tariff would still largely be prohibitive to trade.

On that note, today, the first cargo ships carrying Chinese products hit with the 145% tariff arrived at Los Angeles ports. According to the port’s executive director, Gene Seroka, the volume of cargo on these ships has fallen by more than 50%.

Here’s Marine Insight:

Initially, 80 ships were scheduled to arrive in Los Angeles during May, but about 20% of those have already been cancelled.

Another 13 sailings for June have also been scrapped, a clear sign of businesses pulling back from sourcing goods from China due to cost concerns.

Flexport CEO Ryan Petersen explained that some retailers are opting to store goods in Chinese warehouses instead of bringing them to the US, as the storage costs are now lower than the import taxes.

Petersen estimated that if this continues, there could be a 60% drop in deliveries.

If/when too many deliveries disappear and the current inventory glut in U.S. warehouses dries up, that’s when we’ll face higher prices.

All eyes are on Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and his negotiations with Chinese officials taking place in Switzerland this weekend.

We’ll report back on Monday.

On Wednesday, Cybersecurity company CrowdStrike announced it is cutting 500 jobs – roughly 5% of its workforce

Here’s MarketWatch with the explanation:

[Behind the layoffs is] both the security threat posed by artificial intelligence and the growing use of AI to move faster and operate more efficiently.

On Tuesday, The Wall Street Journal reported a similar story from tech blue blood IBM:

International Business Machines Chief Executive Arvind Krishna said the tech giant has used artificial intelligence, and specifically AI agents, to replace the work of a couple hundred human resources workers. 

And just a few days ago, language-learning app Duolingo unapologetically cannonballed into AI. From TechCrunch:

Duolingo announced plans this week to replace contractors with AI and become an “AI-first” company — a move that journalist Brian Merchant pointed to as a sign that the AI jobs crisis “is here, now.”

Meanwhile, in January, a World Economic Forum (WEF) survey found that 41% of employers plan on downsizing their workforce over the next five years as AI automates certain tasks.

And here’s more color from the International Monetary Fund:

In advanced economies, about 60 percent of jobs may be impacted by AI.

Roughly half the exposed jobs may benefit from AI integration, enhancing productivity. For the other half, AI applications may execute key tasks currently performed by humans, which could lower labor demand, leading to lower wages and reduced hiring.

 In the most extreme cases, some of these jobs may disappear.

What are we to make of all this?

Well, we’re not yet at the tipping point of AI’s economic creative destruction, but it’s coming.

“Jeff, stop right there. No fearmongering. If AI is such a job threat, explain why our unemployment rate remains at just 4.2%”

Well, first, while high-profile companies like IBM and CrowdStrike are making AI-related cuts, they represent a small slice of the overall labor market. Most AI-related layoffs so far have hit white-collar or tech jobs that are only a portion of the broader workforce.

Plus, job losses are being offset by new jobs in areas like healthcare, construction, hospitality, and transportation, which aren’t as vulnerable to AI… yet. For example, so far in 2025, service sector job growth has remained solid.

Next, many laid-off workers are finding new roles, often in companies adopting AI but needing people to manage, prompt, or train the systems. In other words, for the time being, AI is being used to augment rather than replace workers. So, many companies are restructuring workflows rather than eliminating full positions.

But let’s be clear…

This is a phase. It’s a temporary evolution point – not an end point.

An analogy comes from Ernest Hemingway’s novel “The Sun Also Rises.” When asked how he went bankrupt, a character replies, “Two ways. Gradually, then suddenly.”

The problem with “Jeff, stop fearmongering” is that is focuses on the “gradually” that’s here today, rather than the “suddenly” that’s coming tomorrow.

Legendary investor Louis Navellier has been researching this transition from a cultural, economic, and investment perspective

It was through Louis and his team that I was introduced to the term “double exponential.”

Originally used (in the context of technology) by futurist Ray Kurzweil, author of “The Singularity is Near,” the term describes the idea that technological progress doesn’t just follow a single exponential trend but often accelerates at an even faster rate.

“Double exponential” growth means that not only is the growth rate increasing, but the rate at which it increases is also accelerating.

Here’s Louis tying this idea to our economy and labor market:

Today, we find ourselves at a moment I call the “Economic Singularity.”

This is the moment when AI crosses a threshold and makes most human labor economically irrelevant.

We’re past the point of no return. AI is improving itself now. It’s creating its own agents. And writing its own code.

What comes next?

In short, the biggest transformation of wealth and labor in human history…

Folks, I know this sounds dramatic, but I’m telling you straight.

It’s the way innovation works. It happens slowly at first… and then, all of a sudden, everything is different.

To Louis’ point about human-labor irrelevancy, let’s check in on a key economic “canary in the coal” mine: software developers.

For years, these tech hires commanded fantastic salaries as they wrote the code that powered our cutting-edge software products. This was a next-gen, in-demand career.

With this context, let’s jump to Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei from March:

If I look at coding, programming, which is one area where AI is making the most progress – what we are finding is that we’re 3 to 6 months from a world where AI is writing 90% of the code.

And then in 12 months, we may be in a world where AI is writing essentially all of the code.

Louis makes an important point: You don’t have to like this change – but you must choose how you’ll respond to it.

To help investors safely cross this AI Rubicon, Louis just released a new batch of research.

As part of it, there are four special reports covering )1 the top stocks for this age of the Singularity, 2) which physical AI (think “humanoids/robots”) to buy today, 3) a “Complete Portfolio Protection” Plan, and 4) how to find pre-IPO, potential Unicorn AI investments before they’ve gone public.

You can learn more about accessing all this by clicking here.

By the way – be sure to catch tomorrow’s Digest by our Editor-in-Chief and co-Digest writer Luis Hernandez. He names one of Louis’ recent AI picks.

Here’s another idea for AI preparation, courtesy of our macro expert Eric Fry

As we’ve been hammering home in the Digest for months, AI consumes enormous volumes of energy. This demand will only increase as AI continues to integrate seamlessly with our day-to-day lives. We’ve urged investors to get exposure to the broad AI datacenter ecosystem that powers this demand.

Eric has been positioning his readers for this for many months in his flagship newsletter Fry’s Investment Report.

Let’s jump to his update from Wednesday:

Artificial intelligence relies on data centers to handle its computational needs. AI requires immense amounts of processing power for training and running large language models (LLMs), and data centers provide this power.

But there’s a problem: As we get further and further down the Road to Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), the technology demands such spectacular volumes of electric power that existing sources are not able to provide enough.

During the last three years alone, the combined electricity consumption of data center giants like Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN)Meta Platforms Inc. (META)Microsoft Corp. (MSFT), and Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) soared more than 80%.

That explosive growth is certain to continue.

This shortfall is an opportunity for investors who know where to look. So, where’s Eric looking?

Nuclear energy.

On Wednesday, nuclear developer Elementl Power reported that it signed an agreement with Google to develop three sites for advanced reactors.

This comes on the heels of Google’s deal announced in October with Kairos Power, a developer of “small modular reactors” (SMRs).

Plus, Eric notes that around the same time that Google inked its deal with Kairos, Amazon announced that Amazon Web Services (AWS) is set to invest more than $500 million in nuclear power.

And in September, Microsoft made a deal with Constellation Energy Corp. (CEG) to restart a reactor at the infamous Three Mile Island nuclear facility.

With this background, here’s Eric:

This new high-profile demand for nuclear power from Big Tech and, sooner than we think, AGI could accelerate growth and profitability in the uranium industry.

To capitalize on that potential, I recommend investing in what’s turning into one of the “soundest” plays in the stock market: the uranium sector.

One name for your research that Eric mentions is Cameco Corp. (CCJ), one of the world’s largest uranium producers.

It has high-grade assets such as the McArthur River and Cigar Lake mines that offer significant cost advantages over competitors. Plus, it has a 49% stake in Westinghouse Electric, giving it exposure to the growing demand for SMRs, which Eric highlighted a moment ago.

I’ll also note that CCJ is in the middle of a blistering rally. Since April 9, it’s exploded 36%.

Other ideas for your research include Uranium Energy (UEC), Energy Fuels (UUUU), and Centrus Energy Corp (LEU).

For more on the specific way Eric is investing in Investment Report, click here to learn more about join him. He recently recommended a unique energy play that should be a direct beneficiary of snowballing AI adoption.

Wrapping up, if you remain skeptical about the significance of AI and the need for preparation…

Then I’d point to comments from the “Godfather of AI,” Geoffrey Hinton, made less than two weeks ago.

If you’re less familiar with Hinton, he earned his nickname due to his groundbreaking work in artificial neural networks, particularly his contributions to the development of deep learning.

From Hinton in his recent CBS interview:

People haven’t got it yet. People haven’t understood what’s coming…

The best way to understand it emotionally is we are like somebody who has this really cute tiger cub.

Unless you can be very sure that it’s not gonna want to kill you when it’s grown up, you should worry.

A tweak on Hinton’s comments…

Let’s not worry – that’s pointless and accomplishes nothing. Instead, let’s be deliberate about preparation.

On a general basis, there’s a limit to what that means. But from an investment perspective, there are plenty of moves we can make today to shore up our economic vulnerability.

If you haven’t done so yet, carve out some time to dig into how you’re preparing for AI today.

Have a good evening,

Jeff Remsburg



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Top CD Rates Today, May 9, 2025



Key Takeaways

  • Though the Fed held interest rates steady again on Wednesday, two new CDs joined the top of our rankings this week.
  • You now have ten choices for locking in the top nationwide rate of 4.50%, with terms ranging from 3 to 18 months.
  • Or you can grab a 4.40% CD from PenAir Credit Union that guarantees its return for 21 months, locking your rate until early 2027.
  • Want to secure your APY even longer? The top rates for 3-year through 5-year certificates range from 4.28% to 4.32%.
  • While the Fed isn’t yet ready to restart rate cuts, reductions are ultimately expected in 2025. So locking in one of today’s top CD rates is likely smart in today’s uncertain economy.

Below you’ll find featured rates available from our partners, followed by details from our ranking of the best CDs available nationwide.

A 4.50% Rate You Can Enjoy Until Late 2026

Today’s highest CD rate in the country is 4.50%—and you have plenty of ways to lock that in. The shortest option with that return is a 3-month certificate available from PonceBankDirect. Then, eight institutions offer a 4.50% rate for terms of 6 to 13 months, including a 9-month certificate from OMB that debuted in our rankings yesterday and a 12-month option from Greenwood Credit Union that was unveiled Monday.

At the longest end, XCEL Federal Credit Union will guarantee its 4.50% APY for 18 months, which would secure your return until November 2026.

To view the top 15–20 nationwide rates in any term, click on the desired term length in the left column above.

All Federally Insured Institutions Are Equally Protected

Your deposits at any FDIC bank or NCUA credit union are federally insured, meaning you’re protected by the U.S. government in the unlikely case that the institution fails. Not only that, but the coverage is identical—deposits are insured up to $250,000 per person and per institution—no matter the size of the bank or credit union.

Consider Multiyear CDs to Guarantee Your Rate Further Down the Road

For a rate lock you can enjoy for almost two years, PenAir Credit Union is paying 4.40% APY for 21 months, promising its rate until February 2027. Or, stretch your guarantee further by taking a slightly lower APY of 4.32%, available for 30 months from Genisys Credit Union.

Savers who want to stash their money away for even longer might like the leading 4-year or 5-year certificates. You can lock in a 4.28% rate for 4 years from Lafayette Federal Credit Union. In fact, Lafayette promises the same 4.28% APY on all its certificates from 7 months through 5 years, letting you secure that rate as far as 2030.

Multiyear CDs are likely smart right now, given the possibility of Fed rate cuts in 2025 and perhaps 2026. The central bank lowered the federal funds rate by a full percentage point in late 2024 and could resume rate cuts later this year. While any interest-rate reductions from the Fed will push bank APYs lower, a CD rate you secure now will be yours to enjoy until it matures.

Today’s Best CDs Still Pay Historically High Returns

It’s true that CD rates are no longer at their peak. But despite the pullback, the best CDs still offer a stellar return. October 2023 saw the highest CD rates push briefly to 6%, while today’s leading rate is down to 4.50%. But compare that to early 2022, before the Federal Reserve embarked on its fast-and-furious rate-hike campaign. The most you could earn from the very best CDs in the country ranged from just 0.50% to 1.70% APY, depending on the term.

Jumbo CDs Beat Regular CDs in 4 Terms

Jumbo CDs require much larger deposits and sometimes pay premium rates—but not always. In fact, the best jumbo CD rates right now are the same or lower than the top standard rates in four of the eight CD terms we track.

Among 1-year and 18-month CDs, the top standard and top jumbo CDs pay the same rate of 4.50% APY. Meanwhile, institutions are offering higher jumbo rates in the following terms:

  • 6 months: Credit One Bank offers 4.55% for a 6–7 month jumbo CD vs. 4.50% for the highest standard rate.
  • 3 years: Hughes Federal Credit Union offers 4.34% for a 3-year jumbo CD vs. 4.32% for the highest standard rate.
  • 4 years: Lafayette Federal Credit Union offers 4.33% for a 4-year jumbo CD vs. 4.28% for the highest standard rate.
  • 5 years: Both GTE Financial and Lafayette Federal Credit Union offer 4.33% for jumbo 5-year CDs vs. 4.28% for the highest standard rate.

That makes it smart to always check both types of offerings when CD shopping. If your best rate option is a standard CD, simply open it with a jumbo-sized deposit.

*Indicates the highest APY offered in each term. To view our lists of the top-paying CDs across terms for bank, credit union, and jumbo certificates, click on the column headers above.

Where Are CD Rates Headed in 2025?

In December, the Federal Reserve announced a third rate cut to the federal funds rate in as many meetings, reducing it a full percentage point since September. But with its announcement this week, the central bank has opted to hold rates steady at all three of its 2025 meetings to date.

The Fed’s three rate cuts last year represented a pivot from the central bank’s historic 2022–2023 rate-hike campaign, in which the committee aggressively raised interest rates to combat decades-high inflation. At its 2023 peak, the federal funds rate climbed to its highest level since 2001—and remained there for nearly 14 months.

Fed rate moves are significant to savers, as reductions to the fed funds rate push down the rates banks and credit unions are willing to pay consumers for their deposits. Both CD rates and savings account rates reflect changes to the fed funds rate.

Time will tell what exactly will happen to the federal funds rate in 2025 and 2026—as tariff activity from the Trump administration has paused the Fed’s course as policymakers await clear data. But with more Fed rate cuts possibly arriving this year, today’s CD rates could be the best you’ll see in a while—making now a smart time to lock in the best rate that suits your personal timeline.

Daily Rankings of the Best CDs and Savings Accounts

We update these rankings every business day to give you the best deposit rates available:

Important

Note that the “top rates” quoted here are the highest nationally available rates Investopedia has identified in its daily rate research on hundreds of banks and credit unions. This is much different than the national average, which includes all banks offering a CD with that term, including many large banks that pay a pittance in interest. Thus, the national averages are always quite low, while the top rates you can unearth by shopping around are often 5, 10, or even 15 times higher.

How We Find the Best CD Rates

Every business day, Investopedia tracks the rate data of more than 200 banks and credit unions that offer CDs to customers nationwide and determines daily rankings of the top-paying certificates in every major term. To qualify for our lists, the institution must be federally insured (FDIC for banks, NCUA for credit unions), the CD’s minimum initial deposit must not exceed $25,000, and any specified maximum deposit cannot be under $5,000.

Banks must be available in at least 40 states. And while some credit unions require you to donate to a specific charity or association to become a member if you don’t meet other eligibility criteria (e.g., you don’t live in a certain area or work in a certain kind of job), we exclude credit unions whose donation requirement is $40 or more. For more about how we choose the best rates, read our full methodology.



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Better Than a High-Yield Savings Account?



Key Takeaways

  • Companion bills were introduced in the U.S. House and Senate last week to create a new type of tax-free savings account for all Americans.
  • If passed, it would allow you to put annual contributions in a Universal Savings Account (USA), where your earnings could grow tax-free.
  • Offering the same tax benefits as a Roth IRA, a USA would be more flexible, allowing you to withdraw at any age without penalty.
  • Will this be better than a high-yield savings account? It all depends on what return you can earn with a USA and what tax bracket you’re in.

The full article continues below these offers from our partners.

A New Kind of Tax-Free Savings Account

On May 1, Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) and Rep. Diana Harshbarger (R-Tenn.) introduced companion bills for a Universal Savings Account (USA) Act. The legislation proposes creating a new type of tax-advantaged account that would allow all Americans to put money in savings that can earn interest that isn’t taxed.

If that kind of tax benefit sounds familiar, you may be thinking of a Roth IRA, which is a retirement account that lets you contribute a certain amount each year into a retirement fund where money grows tax-free. But unlike a Roth, which requires you to wait until age 59-1/2 to withdraw your funds without penalty, a USA would allow withdrawals at any time, no matter your age.

The money you could put in a USA would be post-tax dollars, just like the money you put into a Roth IRA. That means you can’t claim a tax deduction for your contribution. Instead, the tax break comes from not having the earnings taxed.

As currently proposed, the contribution limit for a USA is larger than for a Roth. The USA Act indicates a maximum contribution in Year 1 of $10,000, to be increased $500 each year until reaching a maximum annual limit of $25,000. By contrast, the most you can put into a Roth IRA in 2025 is $7,000 (or $8,000 for those age 50 and older).

In addition, the USA Act does not indicate that eligibility to make contributions is tied to any income limits. That differs from Roth IRA rules, which begin phasing out eligibility once a single tax filer reaches a modified adjusted gross income (MAGI) of $150,000, or a married couple filing jointly has a MAGI of $236,000.

Universal Savings Account (USA) vs. High-Yield Savings Account

So, how would a possible Universal Savings Account stack up against one of today’s best high-yield savings accounts? As with many questions, the answer is that it depends. First, it depends on what you can earn with a USA. And second, your tax bracket matters.

Let’s say you can earn 4% with a standard high-yield savings account. The interest you earn from the bank or credit union would be taxed as regular income, meaning you’ll get to keep something less than 4%. How much less is a factor of your tax bracket, which you can look up using the table below based on your taxable income.

2025 Income Tax Brackets
Tax Rate Single Filers Married Filing Jointly Heads of Households
10% $0 to $11,925 $0 to $23,850 $0 to $17,000
12% $11,925 to $48,475 $23,850 to $96,950 $17,000 to $64,850
22% $48,475 to $103,350 $96,950 to $206,700 $64,850 to $103,350
24% $103,350 to $197,300 $206,700 to $394,600 $103,350 to $197,300
32% $197,300 to $250,525 $394,600 to $501,050 $197,300 to $250,500
35% $250,525 to $626,350 $501,050 to $751,600 $250,500 to $626,350
37% $626,350 or more $751,600 or more $626,350 or more
Source: Tax Foundation

If you’re in, say, the 22% tax bracket, you’ll keep 78% of your interest earnings (100% minus your 22% tax rate). Multiplying 0.78 by 4% leaves you with a net interest rate of 3.12%. You can see all our calculations below for a starting taxable interest rate of 3% or 4%.

 Your tax bracket 3.00% taxable interest  4.00% taxable interest 
 10% 2.70% after-tax 3.60% after-tax
12%  2.64% after-tax 3.52% after-tax
22% 2.34% after-tax 3.12% after-tax
24% 2.28% after-tax 3.04% after-tax
32% 2.04% after-tax 2.72% after-tax
35% 1.95% after-tax 2.60% after-tax
37% 1.89% after-tax 2.52% after-tax

Knowing these numbers allows you to see how much you’d have to earn in your USA in order to out-do a taxable high-yield savings account. If, for instance, you can only earn 2.00% in a USA, you’d be better off with a 3% taxable savings account that nets over 2%, unless you’re in the 35% or 37% tax bracket.

But if instead you can get close to the same rate with a USA as with a top high-yield savings account, or you are in a very high tax bracket, then a USA’s tax savings will pay off. It comes down to doing the math on what your after-tax interest rate will be for a standard account vs. your tax-free rate from a USA.

One Way a USA Could Be Huge Winner

You can likely benefit the most from a USA if you’re able to sock away money each year and not touch it for a while, allowing you to invest your money for bigger gains. Like Roth IRAs, USAs would allow the purchase of stocks, bonds, ETFs, etc., allowing much larger gains over time. However, this type of investment is not recommended for funds you may want to access in the short term.

For Now, Here’s Where You Can Earn the Most on Your Cash

Time will tell whether this proposed legislation passes, and whether Universal Savings Accounts will enter the marketplace and the tax code. In the meantime, it’s always smart to make sure you’re earning a competitive return on your money in the bank. We make that homework easy by publishing our national rankings of the highest bank deposit rates every business day.

Right now, our daily ranking of the best high-yield savings accounts includes 15 accounts that pay between 4.35% and 5.00% APY, all with the flexibility to withdraw your funds whenever you want.

In addition, you could commit a portion of your savings to a certificate of deposit (CD). The advantage of a CD is that your return is locked in for the duration of the CD, while savings account rates can drop at any time.

Say you open a 1-year CD today that earns 4.50%, which is the top rate in our ranking of the best nationwide CDs. That means that, no matter what happens to broader U.S. interest rates over the next year, your return of 4.50% will be guaranteed until next May.

Where Interest Rates Are Headed

The Federal Reserve opted this week to hold its benchmark interest rate steady, its third rate pause this year. But financial markets have priced in majority odds of three Fed rate cuts by year’s end, which would push savings and CD rates lower.

Daily Rankings of the Best CDs and Savings Accounts

We update these rankings every business day to give you the best deposit rates available:

Important

Note that the “top rates” quoted here are the highest nationally available rates Investopedia has identified in its daily rate research on hundreds of banks and credit unions. This is much different than the national average, which includes all banks offering a CD with that term, including many large banks that pay a pittance in interest. Thus, the national averages are always quite low, while the top rates you can unearth by shopping around are often 5, 10, or even 15 times higher.

How We Find the Best Savings and CD Rates

Every business day, Investopedia tracks the rate data of more than 200 banks and credit unions that offer CDs and savings accounts to customers nationwide and determines daily rankings of the top-paying accounts. To qualify for our lists, the institution must be federally insured (FDIC for banks, NCUA for credit unions), and the account’s minimum initial deposit must not exceed $25,000. It also cannot specify a maximum deposit amount that’s below $5,000.

Banks must be available in at least 40 states to qualify as nationally available. And while some credit unions require you to donate to a specific charity or association to become a member if you don’t meet other eligibility criteria (e.g., you don’t live in a certain area or work in a certain kind of job), we exclude credit unions whose donation requirement is $40 or more. For more about how we choose the best rates, read our full methodology.



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How the Ultra-Rich Use Municipal Bonds in Retirement



For the ultra-wealthy, municipal bonds aren’t just about earning interest. They’re a way to lock in tax-free income, cover essential expenses, and free up the rest of their portfolio for higher-growth investments.

But even though muni bonds may offer stable income, they aren’t a perfect fit for every retiree, and they come with risks that are easy to overlook.

Key Takeaways

  • Municipal bonds offer steady, often tax-free income, but can come with hidden risks like liquidity issues and sometimes even unexpected taxes.
  • Wealthy investors often use muni bonds to cover basic living expenses while investing aggressively elsewhere to build more wealth.
  • Municipal bonds are best seen as one tool among many—not a complete retirement plan on their own.

Why the Wealthy Turn to Municipal Bonds

One major reason municipal bonds are popular with wealthy retirees? Taxes. “Municipal bonds can provide stable, high-quality, tax-free income,” says Noah Damsky, founder of California-based Marina Wealth Advisors, noting that they’re federally tax-free, but only occasionally state tax-free.

For example, munis may be exempt from state and local taxes if you live in the state where the bond is issued.

Reducing taxable income can make a huge difference for those in higher brackets, making munis a smart way to protect wealth without giving more away to taxes.

Plus, the relatively stable nature of many muni bonds—especially general obligation bonds backed by a government taxing authority (instead of revenue from a given project)—makes them an attractive way to fund day-to-day living expenses in retirement.

Risks and Common Pitfalls to Avoid

Despite their reputation for safety, municipal bonds aren’t foolproof. “While they’re often high quality, they’re not without risk,” Damsky cautions. “They can carry a substantial amount of interest rate risk and some credit risk.”

Liquidity is another concern many investors miss. “They can be hard to sell at a good price in big blocks, especially if the market is stressed,” Damsky says.

What’s more, buying the wrong type of muni can even trigger an unexpected tax bill—a surprise many retirees aren’t prepared for.

For example, if you buy a private activity bond, and your income is high enough, the interest might be subject to the alternative minimum tax (AMT).

If you’re looking for additional safe options for cash management, you also might want to explore high-yield savings accounts for flexible, FDIC-insured savings.

Tip

Before buying municipal bonds, find out if they are subject to the alternative minimum tax (AMT).

Why Home-State Bonds Aren’t Always Best

Many high-net-worth investors buy municipal bonds issued only in their home state to avoid paying state income taxes on interest earned, noted Damsky.

But concentrating too heavily can backfire. “While these bonds can be high quality, concentration in one particular state is not optimal,” he said.

Economic or political problems in one state could hit your portfolio harder than you expect. Diversification still matters—even for bonds that seem safe.

How the Ultra-Wealthy Structure Their Portfolios

For the ultra-rich, muni bonds aren’t the whole game plan. They’re often part of a bigger strategy to create a growth and income portfolio that relies on assets like alternatives too.

“I find that the ultra-wealthy like to barbell their portfolios,” Damsky explains. “They want to have their safe money in high-quality fixed income, and have their assets beyond living expenses in high-growth investments such as private equity, private infrastructure, and venture capital.”

Once they feel confident that they have secured their lifestyle with conservative investments, they turn to high-growth investments to continue to build generational wealth, he adds.

This approach effectively gives them a stable income while they pursue long-term growth.

When Munis Might Not Make Sense

If you’re trying to build wealth aggressively in retirement—not just to preserve it—relying heavily on munis might not be the best move.

“Municipal bonds can be great for sustaining existing wealth, but they are unlikely to compound wealth over the long term,” Damsky says.

That’s because, as fixed-income securities, they offer income, not capital appreciation.

Munis can be a powerful investment tool—but like any tool, they’re only right when they fit the job you’re trying to accomplish.

The Bottom Line

The ultra-wealthy use municipal bonds to create a reliable foundation of generally tax-free income, covering their essential needs while investing boldly elsewhere.

But muni bonds aren’t risk-free, and they’re not a one-size-fits-all investing solution. Understanding how they work and when they don’t can help you build a retirement plan that fits your goals.



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Wednesday’s Fed Announcement Was a Dud. But This Stock Screener Isn’t…


Editor’s Note: On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) chose to keep interest rates steady. I’m personally perplexed by this, since the latest inflation data shows it’s cooling down.

But my colleague, Luke Lango, sees a summer rally approaching – and he’s built an easy-to-use quant tool that you can use to profit. Every month, he’ll tell you what stocks to buy and sell based on a number of factors, including growing revenue, trending upward and gaining analysts’ attention. As a numbers guy, this is something I can get behind.

The tool is called Auspex, and you can learn more about it by clicking here.

Now, I’ll let Luke explain more about the summer rally that is fast approaching…

********************

Everyone was expecting fireworks on Wednesday afternoon…

Here’s what I said on Wednesday, before the FOMC rate decision announcement and Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference, in the Daily Notes I send my paid-up members …

Powell’s press conference will provide some much-needed clarity as to what the Fed will do in June. He will either sound dovish and open the door for a rate cut – which will send stocks soaring higher. Or he will sound hawkish and sound hesitant on cutting rates – which will send stocks plunging lower.

But instead, Powell and the FOMC were… nothing but damp sparklers.

They kept their benchmark rate unchanged, at a target of 4.25% to 4.5%. That was as expected. The fireworks were supposed to come from the Fed’s statement and Powell’s press conference.

However, Powell said the same thing he’s been saying for months.

“We don’t think we need to be in a hurry,” he said with regard to the potential for cutting rates. He said that there are cases where it would be appropriate to cut… or to stand pat.

The stock market’s response was damp as well. All three major indices ended the day less than a percentage point up from where they started.

No “soaring” or “plunging.”

And while that may be ho-hum news for set-it-and-forget-it index investors, it’s great news for self-directed investors.

So, let’s do a few things today…

Let’s review how we got here… and why I think we’re headed into a summer rally.

Plus, I’ll tell you why this will remain a stock picker’s market despite that rally.

Also, let’s take a peek at the quant tool my team and I built to help us find the best stocks in the market. It works in volatile times like these… and it will work even better once we get past them.

Plus, I’ll reveal one stock my tool and I picked that was a winner for us last month… and that we picked again this month.

This underappreciated “space economy” play is already blasting off and outperforming the market this month as well…

The Building Summer Rally

Stocks just endured one of the fastest and most violent crashes in modern history.

In early April, stocks plummeted 10% in just two days.

As a matter of fact, until last week, stocks were tracking for their third-worst year on record after dropping more than 12% in the first 74 trading days…

But then came the biggest comeback rally in the past 100 years.

Signs that the global trade war is rapidly deescalating blew strong winds into Wall Street’s sails – sparking a historic rally. And, just as fast as they crashed, stocks staged an epic rebound.

And, I believe, momentum is building.

Let’s start with May, when we expect the “trade dam” to break.

The pressure that’s been building since “Liberation Day” is finally forcing a breakthrough on the trade front. 

Over the past week, multiple White House officials have suggested that several trade deals are nearly complete – especially with key allies. We just heard about one with the United Kingdom Thursday morning, in fact (that lit off some fireworks).

We expect more of those deals to be announced in May.

They’ll do more than just ease tariffs. They’ll slam the brakes on inflation fears, cool the geopolitical heat, and give the Fed the economic clarity it’s been waiting for.

Then we’ll move into June, where two catalysts will converge – and ignite a major market rally.

First, we expect a terrible May jobs report. That’s good news. 

Weak jobs data will show the true employment cost of the “Liberation Day” tariff blitz, which began just after the last payrolls survey.

This will give the Fed every reason it needs to pull the trigger on its first rate cut of 2025 at the June FOMC meeting… or at least provide the sort of post-meeting fireworks we were looking for on Wednesday.

But that’s not all.

As trade deals are signed, pressure will mount on the U.S. and China to come to terms. We believe the nations will announce a framework deal, which would serve as the clearest sign yet that the trade war is winding down.

Then in July, we will get the final piece of the puzzle: tax cuts

We expect Congress to finalize a massive tax reform bill extending – and potentially expanding –the 2017 tax cuts. By then, lawmakers will have the cover to push this bill through.

These positive catalysts will lead us into the 2Q earnings season, which kicks off in mid-July. Those reports should reflect easing cost pressures, improved demand visibility, and a surge in forward confidence. As such, we expect strong earnings, better guidance, and reaccelerating growth.

But make no mistake…

The Stock Picker’s Top May Pick

This isn’t a “buy everything and hope for the best” market.

Volatility is the new norm. We’re living in the Age of Chaos

Traditional buy-and-hold strategies don’t work like they used to.

And so, my team and I have developed what we believe is the ultimate stock-picking engine — a quantitative, machine-driven screener that helps you get in, get out, and get paid month after month in this Age of Chaos.

It scans the market for the rarest type of opportunity – stocks that are simultaneously:

  • Growing earnings, revenues, and margins.
  • Trending up across short- and long-term technicals.
  • Getting attention from both analysts and traders.

These are the strongest stocks in the entire market at any given moment.

Then my team and I make the final call on which of those stocks we recommend to our subscribers.

And we’ve stress-tested it.

Over the past five years, it could have returned 1,054% — outpacing the S&P 500 by more than 10X. Even in rough stretches, it’s been able to sidestep crashes and capitalize on rebounds. In 2024, from July through December, while the S&P barely moved, it could have delivered a 24.3% return.

This model doesn’t require you to perform hours of research or constant monitoring. Just 30 minutes a month is enough to follow its signals.

In April, one of the most volatile months in stock market history, the S&P 500 dipped into bear market territory and then clawed its way back out to a just under 1% loss.

At the same time, one of this tool’s picks was Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM). In April, it took off for a 13.4% gain.

Our proprietary stock screener picked this aerospace and defense component specialist again earlier this month… and we agreed. So far in May, HWM shares are up 6.2% (and the top performer in our portfolio). Meanwhile, the S&P is up less than 2%.

We took this tool out of the “lab” and started using it live in June 2024. Since then, we’ve put it to the test in 10 monthly portfolios.

And with results like I just showed you with Howmet, it’s no surprise that this quant screener has, in six of those months, handily beat the market… and tied it once.

To show you what else this tool can do, I’ve participated in an event where I show you a lot more about how this tool works. It’s free to viewers.

Go here to watch it now.

Sincerely, 

Luke Lango's signatureLuke Lango's signature

Luke Lango

Senior Analyst, InvestorPlace



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Why Bill Gates is Choosing Not to Leave 99% of His Wealth to His Children



Bill Gates, worth over $100 billion, plans to leave his three children less than 1% of his vast fortune. While that still amounts to millions per child, it’s a surprisingly small fraction of what the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) cofounder could give.

Gates’ explanation is straightforward: “It wouldn’t be a favor to them.” Instead of creating a “dynasty,” Gates says he wants the younger Gates—Jennifer, Rory, and Phoebe—to forge their own paths. We’ll get into his reasoning, along with where the rest of his wealth will go, below.

Key Takeaways

  • Gates’ three children will inherit less than 1% of his estimated $100 billion-plus fortune, which still translates to about a billion dollars.
  • Gates says that providing his children with a massive inheritance could undermine their ability to achieve their own success and develop their own identities.

How Much Is Bill Gates Worth?

Gates amassed his fortune primarily through Microsoft, the software company he co-founded with Paul Allen in 1975. Microsoft rapidly became the world’s largest software maker, helping to launch the personal computing industry. Gates became the world’s youngest self-made billionaire at age 32 in 1987, following Microsoft’s initial public offering and the explosive growth of its Windows operating system. Gates hasn’t been at Microsoft since 2000, when he stepped down from its board.

As of April 2025, Gates’ net worth is estimated to be $107.7 billion, making him the 13th richest person in the world. Gates has diversified his portfolio through Cascade Investment, his private holding company. Cascade manages stakes in dozens of public and private companies, including Canadian National Railway, Deere & Co., Ecolab, and real estate and energy assets.

The Philosophy Behind Limited Inheritance

In a 2025 interview on the “Figuring Out” podcast with Raj Shamani, Gates made his reasoning for leaving choice of how much to leave his children clear: “My kids got a great upbringing, education, but less than 1% of the total wealth because I decided it wouldn’t be a favor to them. It’s not a dynasty. I’m not asking them to run Microsoft.”

Gates said he’d like to leave them the freedom to forge their own paths. “I want to give them a chance to have their own earnings and success, be significant and not overshadowed by the incredible luck and good fortune I had,” he said.

Fast Fact

Asked about his legacy, Gates didn’t mention Microsoft or any of his business ventures. “Ideally, [those speaking of him after his death would] say that, wow, there were these diseases around, polio and malaria and malnutrition, and now we don’t have to think about that, partly because he championed putting more great thinking and resources into ending those problems.”

Where the Rest Will Go: The Gates Foundation

The vast majority of Gates’ wealth is directed toward the Gates Foundation (formerly the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation). The foundation held $75.2 billion in its endowment as of December 2023 (the most recent public figures).

Established in 2000, the foundation focuses primarily on global health, education, and poverty reduction initiatives. The foundation has donated billions to combat diseases like malaria, HIV/AIDS, and polio.

Fast Fact

A longtime friend of Gates, Warren Buffett is a major funder of the Gates Foundation, having given over $39 billion since 2006.

Bottom Line

Bill Gates says he’s leaving less than 1% of his fortune to his children because it would do them more harm than good. But he also says he wants to prioritize the global impact his money can have for the causes that are his foundation’s focus. “The highest calling for these resources is to go back to the neediest through the foundation,” he said.



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Weddings Are Expensive. Here’s How One Financial Advisor Talks To Clients About Budgeting



A wedding is meant to be a special, joyous occasion. However, the financial planning required for such a momentous day can feel a little less magical. According to a wedding study by The Knot, the national average cost of a wedding in 2025 is $33,000.

Daunting as it may seem, thoughtful budgeting and planning can ease the financial stress of wedding planning.

Key Takeaways

  • The average cost of a wedding in 2025 is $33,000
  • Set a total budget early and work backward to guide every spending decision.
  • Look for major savings opportunities like off-season dates or free venues from family or friends.
  • Prioritize what matters most to you—like food or photography—and allocate extra funds there.

It’s common knowledge that weddings have become expensive galas. The fact that the average age of first marriages continues to climb might have something to do with that financial investment. While the expectation of a lavish event is hard to escape, there are still ways to host a successful wedding without breaking the bank.

Note

The average age for a woman to get married has increased from about age 24 to age 28 from 1990 to 2024.

What I’m Telling My Clients

Just like with buying a house, a savings plan should be in place before anyone starts planning a wedding. Even with cutting corners and reducing costs, spending upwards of $10,000 is not hard.

In most cases, it’s good to begin with a total budget and work backward. For those who work with a wedding planner, presenting a spending cap will give that person a blueprint for piecing together your ceremony or reception. If the total is $20,000 and the dream venue costs $15,000, you know that everything else needs to be found via bargain shopping or the venue has to be reconsidered.

Finding ways to save is often the secret to a successful wedding. I encourage my clients to consider the following:

  • Search for an affordable venue owned by a family or a friend.
  • Set aside extra money for the most important things to you, such as catering, wedding attire, or photography.
  • Check venue prices during the off-season and try to negotiate the cost if you’re looking at a date that’s atypical for weddings. Cheaper months tend to be December and January.

Tip

 According to The Knot Real Weddings Study, only 2% of weddings last year took place in January.

The Bottom Line

If you want a semi-traditional wedding, you have to plan on spending a little money. As long as you save and track down every available bargain, you can set a sensible budget and stick to it. The average cost of a wedding might be high, but you can find ways to manage it financially and still have the day you always dreamed of.



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